Sport Picks

Latvia

Nakotnes liga

Skanste

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FK Smiltene play Skanste in the Nakotnes liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, FK Smiltene averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. Skanste averaged 1.66 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. In past meetings, FK Smiltene won 1, Skanste won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 28, 2026 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for FK Smiltene and 2.00 for Skanste. This points to a Skanste double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%

FK Smiltene

20%

Draws

55%

Skanste

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Skanste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

FK Smiltene picked up more points recently compared to Skanste.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 2.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 91%

Over 2.5 Goals 70%

Over 3.5 Goals 42%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%

FK Smiltene Clean Sheet 10%

Skanste Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 82%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FK Smiltene	Skanste
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	5	13
Draws	7	5
Losses	18	11
Goals Scored	1.4	1.66
Goals Conceded	2.27	1.62
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.50	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Nakotnes liga

FK Smiltene vs Skanste

Possession: 55% - 45% Cards: 2 - 4

2:4

Aug 9, 2025 Nakotnes liga

FK Smiltene vs Skanste

Possession: 54% - 56% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

Apr 12, 2025 Nakotnes liga

Skanste vs FK Smiltene

Possession: 54% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Nov 10, 2024 Nakotnes liga

Skanste vs FK Smiltene

Possession: 42% - 57% Cards: 0 - 3

0:3

Jul 28, 2024 Nakotnes liga

FK Smiltene vs Skanste

Possession: 45% - 50% Cards: 4 - 4

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Smiltene Compare

Top Goalscorer Dumins E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Spalvins M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Skanste Compare

Top Goalscorer Berzins M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Baltrusaitis D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Smiltene 25 / 100

Skanste 52 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FK Smiltene Skanste

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skanste Win (2)

Secondary Pick Skanste & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +47%

5.88

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.2%

1.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FK Smiltene attacking → ← attacking Skanste

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Smiltene scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Skanste let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

FK Smiltene went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Skanste lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 44

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FK Metta	12	10	1	1	42:11	31
2	Valmiera	12	9	2	1	32:12	29
3	Riga Mariners	12	8	4	0	25:10	28
4	Leevon PPK	12	7	3	2	20:15	24
5	Alberts JDFS	12	6	2	4	25:20	20
6	Marupe	12	6	1	5	22:15	19
7	Super Nova 2	12	5	4	3	19:17	19
8	Riga FC 2	12	5	1	6	19:22	16
9	Skanste	11	4	1	6	20:21	13
10	RFS 2	12	2	3	7	15:26	9
11	Tukums 2000 2	12	2	2	8	16:31	8
12	JFK Ventspils	11	1	4	6	12:20	7
13	Rezekne	12	1	2	9	10:36	5
14	FK Smiltene	12	0	4	8	12:33	4