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FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac vs Sloboda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac in this Srpska Liga - West matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac
20%
Draws
65%
Sloboda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sloboda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sloboda lately — more wins on the board than FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac.
  • Sloboda are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac Clean Sheet 19%
Sloboda Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac Sloboda
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 8 14
Draws 9 9
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0.91 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.22 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Srpska Liga - West
FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac vs Sloboda
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 Srpska Liga - West
Sloboda vs FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 Srpska Liga - West
FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac vs Sloboda
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac 24 / 100
Sloboda 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac Sloboda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sloboda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Sloboda conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Solid form: FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac VS Sloboda
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac

(Home)
10 Oct
FAP
2 : 1
FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac
04 Oct
FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac
0 : 1
Takovo
27 Sept
OFK Napredak
0 : 0
FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac
23 Sept
FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac
1 : 4
Buducnost Krusik
20 Sept
Radevac
1 : 1
FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac
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Sloboda

(Away)
10 Oct
FK Zlatibor Cajetina
1 : 0
Sloboda
03 Oct
Sloboda
3 : 2
Omladinac Zablace
27 Sept
FAP
2 : 1
Sloboda
23 Sept
Sloboda
1 : 0
Takovo
19 Sept
OFK Napredak
0 : 2
Sloboda
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jedinstvo Putevi 10 7 3 0 17:4 24
2 FAP 10 6 3 1 14:5 21
3 Radnicki Valjevo 10 6 3 1 9:2 21
4 Omladinac Zablace 10 5 3 2 12:7 18
5 Sloboda 10 6 0 4 14:10 18
6 Zeleznicar Lajkovac 9 4 2 3 12:9 14
7 FK Zlatibor Cajetina 10 4 2 4 11:8 14
8 OFK Napredak 10 3 3 4 11:9 12
9 Buducnost Krusik 10 3 3 4 10:9 12
10 FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac 10 3 3 4 9:12 12
11 Vujan Prislonica 10 3 1 6 11:17 10
12 Real Podunavci 10 2 3 5 7:13 9
13 Sloga Pozega 10 2 3 5 4:12 9
14 Takovo 9 2 2 5 6:11 8
15 Djerdap Golubac 10 1 5 4 11:18 8
16 Radevac 10 1 3 6 7:19 6
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