Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Sveikata Kybartai vs Marijampole City

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Babusis M.

AI Match Summary

FK Sveikata Kybartai in this Lithuanian Cup 2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Sveikata Kybartai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
FK Sveikata Kybartai
22%
Draws
18%
Marijampole City
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: FK Sveikata Kybartai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Marijampole City have won more games recently than FK Sveikata Kybartai.
  • FK Sveikata Kybartai are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Lithuanian Cup 2019 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 55%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
FK Sveikata Kybartai Clean Sheet 11%
Marijampole City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Sveikata Kybartai Marijampole City
Matches Played 15 31
Wins 3 10
Draws 1 2
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 0.6 0.63
Goals Conceded 3 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2019 Lithuanian Cup
FK Sveikata Kybartai vs Marijampole City
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Sveikata Kybartai Compare

Top Goalscorer Babusis M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.3

Marijampole City Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Sveikata Kybartai 56 / 100
Marijampole City 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Sveikata Kybartai Marijampole City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SVE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Marijampole City has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

FK Sveikata Kybartai's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 15 recent games.

Marijampole City has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

FK Sveikata Kybartai VS Marijampole City
0.6 Goals Scored 0.63
3 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
80% Over 2.5 63%
60% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Suduva3
Ekranas2
Dainava Alytus3
Marijampole City (Inactive)4
FA Siauliai2
FK Kedainiai1
FC Hegelmann0
FK Panevezys4
Nevezis Kedainiai3
FC Pakruojis1
Marijampole City0
FK Sveikata Kybartai1
FC Stumbras2
SSPC FSK Radviliskis1
Atlantas0
Zalgiris2
Palanga1
Ateitis Vilnius0
Gelezinis Vilkas0
FK Babrungas4
Vilniaus Vytis3
Viltis Vilnius2
Navigatoriai Vilnius1
Dziugas Telsiai2
FK Kauno Zalgiris2
Riteriai1
Kupiskis0
FK Minija1
Spartakas Vilnius5
Kaisiadorys4
Tera Vilnius0
Banga2
1/8-finals
Suduva4
Marijampole City (Inactive)1
FA Siauliai1
FK Panevezys6
Nevezis Kedainiai1
FK Sveikata Kybartai0
FC Stumbras0
Zalgiris3
Palanga4
FK Babrungas0
Vilniaus Vytis1
Dziugas Telsiai2
FK Kauno Zalgiris2
FK Minija1
Spartakas Vilnius0
Banga3
Quarter-finals
Suduva1
FK Panevezys0
Nevezis Kedainiai1
Zalgiris5
Palanga2
Dziugas Telsiai1
FK Kauno Zalgiris2
Banga3
Semi-finals
Suduva4
Zalgiris2
Palanga0
Banga2
Final
Suduva4
Banga0