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FK Svit vs 1. MFK Kezmarok

Slovakia Slovakia

Slovak Cup 2022/2023
Thu, Aug 11, 2022
0 - 1
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Svit play 1. MFK Kezmarok in the Slovak Cup 2022/2023. 1. MFK Kezmarok are favorites here. Recently, FK Svit averaged 0.87 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. 1. MFK Kezmarok averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.81 conceded. In past meetings, FK Svit won 0, 1. MFK Kezmarok won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 11, 2022 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for FK Svit and 1.36 for 1. MFK Kezmarok. This points to a 1. MFK Kezmarok double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
FK Svit
15%
Draws
61%
1. MFK Kezmarok
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: 1. MFK Kezmarok

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Svit picked up more points recently compared to 1. MFK Kezmarok.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.36 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
FK Svit Clean Sheet 18%
1. MFK Kezmarok Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Svit 1. MFK Kezmarok
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.87 1.71
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.81

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2022 Slovak Cup
FK Svit vs 1. MFK Kezmarok
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Svit 25 / 100
1. MFK Kezmarok 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Svit 1. MFK Kezmarok

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 1. MFK Kezmarok Win (2)
Secondary Pick 1. MFK Kezmarok & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FK Svit attacking → ← attacking 1. MFK Kezmarok

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Svit scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

1. MFK Kezmarok let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

FK Svit went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

1. MFK Kezmarok lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 43
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63