Sport Picks
Flamengo Arcoverde vs Afogados da Ingazeira
Brazil
Pernambucano 2024 
AI Match Summary
Flamengo Arcoverde play Afogados da Ingazeira in the Pernambucano 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Flamengo Arcoverde averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Afogados da Ingazeira averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. In past meetings, Flamengo Arcoverde won 0, Afogados da Ingazeira won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 8, 2024 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Flamengo Arcoverde and 2.20 for Afogados da Ingazeira. This points to a Afogados da Ingazeira double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Flamengo Arcoverde picked up more points recently compared to Afogados da Ingazeira.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 2.20 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Flamengo Arcoverde | Afogados da Ingazeira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 1 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 3.40 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Flamengo Arcoverde Compare
Afogados da Ingazeira Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Flamengo Arcoverde scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Afogados da Ingazeira let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Flamengo Arcoverde went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Afogados da Ingazeira lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Recife | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 16:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Retro | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16:3 | 20 |
| 3 | Nautico | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12:4 | 20 |
| 4 | Santa Cruz | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 5 | Central SC | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 6 | Afogados da Ingazeira | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:21 | 10 |
| 7 | Maguary | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:10 | 10 |
| 8 | Petrolina | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 9 | CA Porto | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9:23 | 3 |
| 10 | Flamengo Arcoverde | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8:25 | 1 |