Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Flamengo Arcoverde vs Vera Cruz

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2023 game between Flamengo Arcoverde and Vera Cruz finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flamengo Arcoverde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Flamengo Arcoverde
22%
Draws
60%
Vera Cruz
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Vera Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Flamengo Arcoverde carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Vera Cruz a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Flamengo Arcoverde Clean Sheet 10%
Vera Cruz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo Arcoverde Vera Cruz
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 15 9
Draws 1 8
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.33 0.75
Goals Conceded 4.33 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.33 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2023 Pernambucano 2
Flamengo Arcoverde vs Vera Cruz
4:2
Oct 8, 2016 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs Flamengo Arcoverde
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo Arcoverde 18 / 100
Vera Cruz 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo Arcoverde Vera Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vera Cruz let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Flamengo Arcoverde scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Away concern: Vera Cruz has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo Arcoverde VS Vera Cruz
1.33 Goals Scored 0.75
4.33 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 13%
100% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Flamengo Arcoverde

(Home)
24 Feb
Flamengo Arcoverde
0 : 4
Retro
18 Feb
Maguary
6 : 2
Flamengo Arcoverde
08 Feb
Flamengo Arcoverde
2 : 3
Afogados da Ingazeira
02 Feb
Flamengo Arcoverde
0 : 3
Sport Recife
28 Jan
Petrolina
1 : 1
Flamengo Arcoverde
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Vera Cruz

(Away)
17 Oct
Vera Cruz
2 : 2
Ipojuca
11 Oct
Centro Limoeirense
1 : 0
Vera Cruz
08 Oct
Vera Cruz
1 : 2
Belo Jardim
28 Sept
America PE
2 : 0
Vera Cruz
21 Sept
Ipojuca
3 : 1
Vera Cruz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Afogados da Ingazeira11101028:431
2Academica Vitoria1190236:1027
3Flamengo Arcoverde1190227:827
4Decisao1170416:1021
5Vera Cruz1162331:1920
6Ibis Sport Club1143419:2315
7Atletico Torres1141614:1713
8Jaguar1131713:2410
9Atletico PE1123610:159
10Centro Limoeirense1121810:267
111º de Maio1112811:315
12Ferroviario do Cabo111289:375
Promotion - Pernambucano 2024 (Main)
Relegation - Pernambucano 3 (Main)