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Flamengo RJ vs Coritiba

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Maracanã
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Flamengo RJ play Coritiba in the Serie A Betano. It looks like a close match. Recently, Flamengo RJ averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Coritiba averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. In past meetings, Flamengo RJ won 4, Coritiba won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.90 for Flamengo RJ and 1.13 for Coritiba. This points to a Flamengo RJ double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Flamengo RJ
6%
Draws
4%
Coritiba
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Flamengo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Flamengo RJ has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Coritiba.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Flamengo RJ.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie A Betano provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 20%
Coritiba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo RJ Coritiba
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Coritiba
3:0
Aug 20, 2023 Serie A Betano
Coritiba vs Flamengo RJ
2:3
Apr 16, 2023 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Coritiba
3:0
Nov 6, 2022 Serie A Betano
Coritiba vs Flamengo RJ
1:0
Jul 16, 2022 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Coritiba
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flamengo RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Lino S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pedro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Coritiba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo RJ 85 / 100
Coritiba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo RJ Coritiba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flamengo RJ scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Coritiba let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Flamengo RJ went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Coritiba lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo RJ VS Coritiba
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.17
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras18125130:1341
2Flamengo RJ17104331:1634
3Fluminense1894528:2331
4Athletico-PR1893624:1830
5Bragantino1892725:1929
6Bahia1775525:2326
7Coritiba1875624:2426
8Sao Paulo1874723:2025
9Atletico-MG1873822:2324
10Corinthians1866618:1924
11Cruzeiro1866624:2824
12Botafogo RJ1764731:3122
13Vitoria1764721:2522
14Internacional1856721:2221
15Santos1856726:2921
16Gremio1856720:2321
17Vasco1855822:2920
18Remo1846821:2918
19Mirassol1744918:2416
20Chapecoense-SC17161017:339