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Flamengo RJ vs Athletico-PR - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
Wed, Nov 18, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Flamengo RJ host Athletico-PR in the Serie A. Flamengo RJ are expected to control this from the start. Athletico-PR have shipped 1.23 goals a game lately, while Flamengo RJ have conceded 0.78 and scored 2.03. Past meetings favor Flamengo RJ slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Flamengo RJ. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Flamengo RJ
15%
Draws
21%
Athletico-PR
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Flamengo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Flamengo RJ carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Flamengo RJ's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 68%
Athletico-PR Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo RJ Athletico-PR
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 21 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 2.03 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Serie A
Athletico-PR vs Flamengo RJ
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 Serie A
Flamengo RJ vs Athletico-PR
1:0
Jun 16, 2024 Serie A
Athletico-PR vs Flamengo RJ
1:1
Sep 14, 2023 Serie A
Flamengo RJ vs Athletico-PR
0:3
Jul 13, 2023 Copa do Brasil
Athletico-PR vs Flamengo RJ
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo RJ 95 / 100
Athletico-PR 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo RJ Athletico-PR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flamengo RJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flamengo RJ scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Athletico-PR's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Flamengo RJ went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo RJ VS Athletico-PR
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Flamengo RJ

(Home)
04 Nov
Flamengo RJ
3 : 1
Gremio
29 Oct
Vasco
1 : 4
Flamengo RJ
26 Oct
Flamengo RJ
3 : 2
Atletico-MG
23 Oct
Flamengo RJ
0 : 1
Estudiantes L.P.
18 Oct
Bahia
0 : 3
Flamengo RJ
Page 1 of 7

Athletico-PR

(Away)
04 Nov
Athletico-PR
1 : 3
Vasco
30 Oct
Gremio
2 : 0
Athletico-PR
24 Oct
Vitoria
1 : 1
Athletico-PR
17 Oct
Athletico-PR
0 : 2
Palmeiras
12 Oct
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 4
Athletico-PR
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 34 23 7 4 71:29 76
2 Palmeiras 34 21 10 3 62:23 73
3 Cruzeiro 34 18 6 10 55:48 60
4 Fluminense 34 16 9 9 55:42 57
5 Athletico-PR 34 15 9 10 51:43 54
6 Bahia 34 14 11 9 50:45 53
7 Atletico-MG 34 14 8 12 44:40 50
8 Bragantino 34 13 8 13 44:39 47
9 Santos 34 12 11 11 50:49 47
10 Sao Paulo 34 12 8 14 39:39 44
11 Botafogo RJ 34 11 9 14 46:53 42
12 Coritiba 34 11 9 14 40:51 42
13 Vasco 33 11 8 14 43:50 41
14 Mirassol 34 10 10 14 39:48 40
15 Vitoria 34 10 8 16 35:51 38
16 Internacional 34 9 11 14 38:42 38
17 Corinthians 34 9 10 15 36:42 37
18 Gremio 34 9 10 15 38:47 37
19 Remo 34 6 11 17 37:57 29
20 Chapecoense-SC 33 4 9 20 33:68 21
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)