Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
de Arrascaeta G.
Assist: Pedro
18'
18'
de Arrascaeta G.
44'
44'
Leo Pereira
AI Match Summary
The Serie A Betano game between Flamengo RJ and Bahia finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flamengo RJ.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Flamengo RJ
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Flamengo RJ carry the better recent record into this one.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Flamengo RJ taking it.
- Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Flamengo RJ have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 20%
Bahia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Flamengo RJ | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 3 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.96 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.89 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Bahia
2:0
Oct 5, 2025 Serie A Betano
Bahia vs Flamengo RJ
1:0
May 11, 2025 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Bahia
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 Serie A Betano
Bahia vs Flamengo RJ
0:2
Sep 13, 2024 Copa Betano do Brasil
Flamengo RJ vs Bahia
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Flamengo RJ Compare
Top Goalscorer de Arrascaeta G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lucas Paqueta
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Bahia Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Flamengo RJ 42 / 100
Bahia 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Flamengo RJ Bahia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Flamengo RJ scored in 89% of their last 27 games.
Recent resilience: Flamengo RJ stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Bahia let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Flamengo RJ VS Bahia
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Flamengo RJ
(Home) 09 Aug
Flamengo RJ
2 : 0 Vitoria
29 Jul
Internacional
1 : 1 Flamengo RJ
26 Jul
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1 Sao Paulo
23 Jul
Chapecoense-SC
0 : 4 Flamengo RJ
17 Jul
Flamengo RJ
4 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Flamengo RJ
2 : 0 Vitoria
26 Jul
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1 Sao Paulo
17 Jul
Flamengo RJ
4 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
08 Jul
Flamengo RJ
2 : 0 Lausanne
03 Jul
Flamengo RJ
2 : 2 River Plate
Page 1 of 3
Bahia
(Away) 09 Aug
Bahia
0 : 0 Vasco
30 Jul
Fluminense
0 : 0 Bahia
26 Jul
Bahia
1 : 1 Corinthians
21 Jul
Atletico-MG
1 : 1 Bahia
17 Jul
Bahia
2 : 0 Chapecoense-SC
Page 1 of 6
30 Jul
Fluminense
0 : 0 Bahia
21 Jul
Atletico-MG
1 : 1 Bahia
12 Jul
Fluminense
2 : 0 Bahia
25 May
Coritiba
3 : 2 Bahia
14 May
Remo
2 : 1 Bahia
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 38:16 | 48 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 39:18 | 42 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 30:19 | 40 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 31:26 | 35 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 30:31 | 33 |
| 6 | Bahia | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 29:25 | 33 |
| 7 | Corinthians | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 24:20 | 32 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 26:22 | 31 |
| 9 | Botafogo RJ | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 35:33 | 30 |
| 10 | Coritiba | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27:29 | 30 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 27:27 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 26:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 22:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24:27 | 25 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24:30 | 23 |
| 16 | Internacional | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 23:27 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 29:35 | 22 |
| 18 | Vasco | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23:31 | 22 |
| 19 | Remo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 26:36 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 21 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 20:43 | 10 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
