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Flamengo RJ vs Cardoso Moreira

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Carioca 2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Flamengo RJ play Cardoso Moreira in the Campeonato Carioca 2008. Flamengo RJ are favorites here. Recently, Flamengo RJ averaged 2.24 goals scored and 0.79 conceded. Cardoso Moreira averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.46 conceded. In past meetings, Flamengo RJ won 1, Cardoso Moreira won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 24, 2008 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Flamengo RJ and 1.31 for Cardoso Moreira. This points to a Flamengo RJ double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Flamengo RJ
16%
Draws
28%
Cardoso Moreira
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Flamengo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Flamengo RJ picked up more points recently compared to Cardoso Moreira.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 18%
Cardoso Moreira Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo RJ Cardoso Moreira
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 20 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 2.24 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2008 Carioca
Flamengo RJ vs Cardoso Moreira
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo RJ 54 / 100
Cardoso Moreira 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo RJ Cardoso Moreira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flamengo RJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Flamengo RJ & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Flamengo RJ attacking → ← attacking Cardoso Moreira

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flamengo RJ scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Cardoso Moreira let in goals in 67% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Flamengo RJ went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Cardoso Moreira lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 34
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25