Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Flamengo RJ vs Corinthians

Brazil Brazil

Supercopa do Brasil Estádio Nacional Mané Garrincha, Brasília
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Gabriel Paulista
Assist: Gustavo Henrique
43'
Breno Bidon
45'
Carrascal J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Flamengo RJ
35%
Draws
27%
Corinthians
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Flamengo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Corinthians haven't matched Flamengo RJ's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Flamengo RJ a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Flamengo RJ have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Corinthians, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 68%
Corinthians Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo RJ Corinthians
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 19 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 2.24 1.15
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie A Betano
Corinthians vs Flamengo RJ
1:1
Feb 1, 2026 Supercopa do Brasil
Flamengo RJ vs Corinthians
0:2
Sep 28, 2025 Serie A Betano
Corinthians vs Flamengo RJ
1:2
Apr 27, 2025 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Corinthians
4:0
Oct 20, 2024 Copa Betano do Brasil
Corinthians vs Flamengo RJ
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flamengo RJ Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Corinthians Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Paulista
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yuri Alberto
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo RJ 59 / 100
Corinthians 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo RJ Corinthians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flamengo RJ's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Flamengo RJ has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Corinthians conceded in 52% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo RJ VS Corinthians
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Flamengo RJ

(Home)
29 Jul
Internacional
1 : 1
Flamengo RJ
26 Jul
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1
Sao Paulo
23 Jul
Chapecoense-SC
0 : 4
Flamengo RJ
17 Jul
Flamengo RJ
4 : 2
Olimpia Asuncion
11 Jul
Benfica
1 : 2
Flamengo RJ
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Corinthians

(Away)
09 Aug
Bragantino
0 : 2
Corinthians
06 Aug
Corinthians
2 : 1
Internacional
02 Aug
Internacional
2 : 0
Corinthians
30 Jul
Corinthians
0 : 0
Athletico-PR
26 Jul
Bahia
1 : 1
Corinthians
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Flamengo RJ 0
Corinthians 2