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Flamengo RJ vs Coritiba

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Maracanã
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Lino S.
Assist: Pedro
19'
Sub
Leo Ortiz In: Joao Souza
Out: Leo Ortiz
36'
Pedro Rocha

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Betano game between Flamengo RJ and Coritiba finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flamengo RJ.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Flamengo RJ
6%
Draws
4%
Coritiba
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Flamengo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Coritiba haven't matched Flamengo RJ's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Flamengo RJ's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Flamengo RJ have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 20%
Coritiba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo RJ Coritiba
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 19 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.29
Goals Conceded 1 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Coritiba
3:0
Aug 20, 2023 Serie A Betano
Coritiba vs Flamengo RJ
2:3
Apr 16, 2023 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Coritiba
3:0
Nov 6, 2022 Serie A Betano
Coritiba vs Flamengo RJ
1:0
Jul 16, 2022 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Coritiba
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flamengo RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Lino S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pedro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Coritiba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo RJ 85 / 100
Coritiba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo RJ Coritiba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flamengo RJ's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Flamengo RJ remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Coritiba conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo RJ VS Coritiba
1.38 Goals Scored 1.29
1 Goals Conceded 1.86
75% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 43%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras18125130:1341
2Flamengo RJ17104331:1634
3Fluminense1894528:2331
4Athletico-PR1893624:1830
5Bragantino1892725:1929
6Bahia1775525:2326
7Coritiba1875624:2426
8Sao Paulo1874723:2025
9Atletico-MG1873822:2324
10Corinthians1866618:1924
11Cruzeiro1866624:2824
12Botafogo RJ1764731:3122
13Vitoria1764721:2522
14Internacional1856721:2221
15Santos1856726:2921
16Gremio1856720:2321
17Vasco1855822:2920
18Remo1846821:2918
19Mirassol1744918:2416
20Chapecoense-SC17161017:339