Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Flamengo RJ vs Coritiba

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Lino S.
Assist: Pedro
19'
Sub
Leo Ortiz In: Joao Souza
Out: Leo Ortiz
36'
Pedro Rocha

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Betano game between Flamengo RJ and Coritiba finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flamengo RJ.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Flamengo RJ
20%
Draws
28%
Coritiba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Flamengo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Coritiba haven't matched Flamengo RJ's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Flamengo RJ's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Flamengo RJ have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 20%
Coritiba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo RJ Coritiba
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 1.97 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Coritiba
3:0
Aug 20, 2023 Serie A Betano
Coritiba vs Flamengo RJ
2:3
Apr 16, 2023 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Coritiba
3:0
Nov 6, 2022 Serie A Betano
Coritiba vs Flamengo RJ
1:0
Jul 16, 2022 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Coritiba
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flamengo RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Lino S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pedro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Coritiba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo RJ 85 / 100
Coritiba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo RJ Coritiba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flamengo RJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flamengo RJ's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Flamengo RJ remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Coritiba conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo RJ VS Coritiba
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Flamengo RJ

(Home)
18 Sept
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1
Independiente del Valle
13 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Corinthians
11 Sept
Independiente del Valle
0 : 2
Flamengo RJ
06 Sept
Remo
0 : 1
Flamengo RJ
02 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 0
Mirassol
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Coritiba

(Away)
19 Sept
Vasco
5 : 0
Coritiba
12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3
Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Coritiba
1 : 2
Mirassol
31 Aug
Remo
2 : 3
Coritiba
23 Aug
Coritiba
2 : 1
Corinthians
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 27 17 6 4 53:22 57
2 Palmeiras 27 16 8 3 47:21 56
3 Athletico-PR 27 13 7 7 41:31 46
4 Bahia 27 12 10 5 42:33 46
5 Fluminense 27 12 9 6 41:35 45
6 Cruzeiro 27 12 6 9 39:39 42
7 Atletico-MG 27 11 7 9 36:32 40
8 Santos 27 10 8 9 41:40 38
9 Coritiba 28 10 8 10 37:43 38
10 Bragantino 26 10 6 10 32:29 36
11 Sao Paulo 27 10 6 11 32:30 36
12 Botafogo RJ 28 9 8 11 41:45 35
13 Vitoria 27 9 6 12 27:39 33
14 Corinthians 27 8 8 11 28:29 32
15 Mirassol 28 8 8 12 33:42 32
16 Vasco 27 8 7 12 34:41 31
17 Gremio 27 7 7 13 30:38 28
18 Internacional 28 6 10 12 30:36 28
19 Remo 28 5 8 15 32:47 23
20 Chapecoense-SC 27 3 9 15 29:53 18
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)