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Flamengo RJ vs Estudiantes L.P. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Libertadores
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
12:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Flamengo RJ have averaged 1.86 scored and 0.86 conceded recently, against Estudiantes L.P.'s 1.21 scored and 0.86 conceded. Past meetings favor Flamengo RJ slightly — 2-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 21, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.31 - 0.88) back Flamengo RJ to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Flamengo RJ
30%
Draws
19%
Estudiantes L.P.
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Flamengo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Flamengo RJ come out ahead of Estudiantes L.P. on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Flamengo RJ have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Flamengo RJ, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 20%
Estudiantes L.P. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo RJ Estudiantes L.P.
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 1.86 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Flamengo RJ vs Estudiantes L.P.
1:0
Apr 30, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo RJ
1:1
Sep 26, 2025 Copa Libertadores
Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo RJ
1:1
Sep 19, 2025 Copa Libertadores
Flamengo RJ vs Estudiantes L.P.
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo RJ 31 / 100
Estudiantes L.P. 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo RJ Estudiantes L.P.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flamengo RJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flamengo RJ's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Flamengo RJ remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Estudiantes L.P. let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo RJ VS Estudiantes L.P.
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Flamengo RJ

(Home)
08 Oct
Santos
2 : 2
Flamengo RJ
20 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Bragantino
18 Sept
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1
Independiente del Valle
13 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Corinthians
11 Sept
Independiente del Valle
0 : 2
Flamengo RJ
Page 1 of 6

Estudiantes L.P.

(Away)
10 Oct
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
2 : 2
Estudiantes L.P.
05 Oct
Estudiantes L.P.
3 : 0
Gimnasia Mendoza
02 Oct
Platense
1 : 0
Estudiantes L.P.
26 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 3
Rosario Central
22 Sept
Lanus
2 : 1
Estudiantes L.P.
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 4
U. Catolica 1
Rosario Central 0
Corinthians 1
Deportes Tolima 1
Independiente del Valle 4
Cruzeiro 2
Flamengo RJ 3
Mirassol 1
LDU Quito 2
Palmeiras 2
Cerro Porteno 1
Platense 2
Coquimbo 1
Fluminense 2
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Quarter-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 2
Corinthians 1
Independiente del Valle 1
Flamengo RJ 3
LDU Quito 3
Palmeiras 4
Platense 2
Fluminense 3
Semi-finals
Estudiantes L.P. -
Flamengo RJ -
Palmeiras -
Fluminense -
Final
TBD -
TBD -