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Flamengo RJ vs Madureira

Brazil Brazil

Carioca Maracanã
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Caua Coutinho
16'
Jaco
21'
Plata G.

AI Match Summary

Flamengo RJ in this Carioca matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Flamengo RJ.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Flamengo RJ
6%
Draws
4%
Madureira
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Flamengo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Flamengo RJ have won more games recently than Madureira.
  • Model gives Flamengo RJ a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 68%
Madureira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo RJ Madureira
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 21 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2026 Carioca
Madureira vs Flamengo RJ
0:8
Feb 22, 2026 Carioca
Flamengo RJ vs Madureira
3:0
Jan 16, 2025 Carioca
Madureira vs Flamengo RJ
1:1
Mar 2, 2024 Carioca
Flamengo RJ vs Madureira
3:0
Jan 18, 2023 Carioca
Madureira vs Flamengo RJ
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flamengo RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer de la Cruz N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luiz Araujo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Madureira Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo RJ 95 / 100
Madureira 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo RJ Madureira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flamengo RJ scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Flamengo RJ went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Madureira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo RJ VS Madureira
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.43
75% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 43%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Fluminense3
Bangu1
Vasco2
Volta Redonda1
Botafogo RJ1
Flamengo RJ2
Madureira2
Boavista1
Semi-finals
Fluminense2
Vasco1
Flamengo RJ11
Madureira0
Final
Fluminense0
Flamengo RJ1