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Flamengo RJ vs Madureira Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Carioca Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
Flamengo RJ Logo

Flamengo RJ

3 - 0
FT
Madureira Logo

Madureira

Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Caua Coutinho
16'
Jaco
21'
Plata G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-8. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Flamengo RJ
35%
Draws
12%
Madureira
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Flamengo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Flamengo RJ have won more games recently than Madureira.
  • Model gives Flamengo RJ a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Flamengo RJ have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Flamengo RJ, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 68%
Madureira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo RJ Madureira
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 22 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 2.18 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2026 Carioca
Madureira vs Flamengo RJ
0:8
Feb 22, 2026 Carioca
Flamengo RJ vs Madureira
3:0
Jan 16, 2025 Carioca
Madureira vs Flamengo RJ
1:1
Mar 2, 2024 Carioca
Flamengo RJ vs Madureira
3:0
Jan 18, 2023 Carioca
Madureira vs Flamengo RJ
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flamengo RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer de la Cruz N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luiz Araujo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Madureira Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo RJ 95 / 100
Madureira 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo RJ Madureira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flamengo RJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flamengo RJ found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (33 games).

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Flamengo RJ has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Madureira let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo RJ VS Madureira
2.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Flamengo RJ

(Home)
20 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Bragantino
18 Sept
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1
Independiente del Valle
13 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Corinthians
11 Sept
Independiente del Valle
0 : 2
Flamengo RJ
06 Sept
Remo
0 : 1
Flamengo RJ
Page 1 of 7

Madureira

(Away)
23 Sept
Madureira
0 : 2
Sampaio Correa FE
16 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 1
Madureira
02 Sept
Madureira
0 : 0
Boavista
26 Aug
Boavista
2 : 0
Madureira
12 Aug
Madureira
1 : 1
Portuguesa RJ
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Fluminense 3
Bangu 1
Vasco 2
Volta Redonda 1
Botafogo RJ 1
Flamengo RJ 2
Madureira 2
Boavista 1
Semi-finals
Fluminense 2
Vasco 1
Flamengo RJ 11
Madureira 0
Final
Fluminense 0
Flamengo RJ 1