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Flamengo SE vs Desportiva Aracaju

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2
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AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 2 game between Flamengo SE and Desportiva Aracaju finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Desportiva Aracaju.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Flamengo SE
44%
Draws
20%
Desportiva Aracaju
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Desportiva Aracaju carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Sergipano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Flamengo SE Clean Sheet 10%
Desportiva Aracaju Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo SE Desportiva Aracaju
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 9 18
Draws 1 4
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.33 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.33 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2025 Sergipano 2
Flamengo SE vs Desportiva Aracaju
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo SE 34 / 100
Desportiva Aracaju 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo SE Desportiva Aracaju

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DES Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flamengo SE scored in 68% of their last 22 games.

Away concern: Desportiva Aracaju has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Desportiva Aracaju has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo SE VS Desportiva Aracaju
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.33 Goals Conceded 0.63
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desportiva Aracaju981026:325
2Atletico Gloriense971122:222
3Olimpico EC971122:522
4Frei Paulistano951320:916
5Caninde941414:2013
6America de Pedrinhas93249:1511
7Atletico Central92167:177
8Flamengo SE92078:166
9Independente SE91266:235
10Boca Junior91084:280