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Flamengo SP vs Gremio Prudente Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A4 2022 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Flamengo SP
20%
Draws
32%
Gremio Prudente
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Flamengo SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Flamengo SP have won more games recently than Gremio Prudente.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Flamengo SP have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Flamengo SP Clean Sheet 20%
Gremio Prudente Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo SP Gremio Prudente
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 9 12
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.2 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2022 Paulista A4
Gremio Prudente vs Flamengo SP
2:1
Aug 28, 2022 Paulista A4
Flamengo SP vs Gremio Prudente
0:0
Oct 10, 2021 Paulista A4
Flamengo SP vs Gremio Prudente
0:0
Oct 6, 2021 Paulista A4
Gremio Prudente vs Flamengo SP
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo SP 32 / 100
Gremio Prudente 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo SP Gremio Prudente

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flamengo SP found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Flamengo SP went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Gremio Prudente conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo SP VS Gremio Prudente
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Flamengo SP

(Home)
02 Aug
Independente SP
2 : 0
Flamengo SP
25 Jul
Flamengo SP
1 : 0
Independente SP
18 Jul
Flamengo SP
3 : 1
Matonense
11 Jul
Matonense
0 : 1
Flamengo SP
04 Jul
Flamengo SP
2 : 1
Audax-SP
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Gremio Prudente

(Away)
03 Oct
Uniao Sao Joao
2 : 1
Gremio Prudente
26 Sept
Gremio Prudente
0 : 0
Uniao Sao Joao
20 Sept
Linense
1 : 2
Gremio Prudente
15 Sept
Gremio Prudente
2 : 2
Linense
07 Sept
Paulista
2 : 3
Gremio Prudente
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Inter de Bebedouro 2
Sao-Carlense 2
Penapolense 2
Itapirense 3
XV de Jau 2
Flamengo SP 2
AA Itarare 1
Gremio Prudente 5
Semi-finals
Sao-Carlense 1
Itapirense 1
Flamengo SP 1
Gremio Prudente 2
Final
Itapirense 0
Gremio Prudente 3