Sport Picks
Flaminia vs Follonica Gavorrano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group E 
Match Events
54'
54'
Pino A.
54'
54'
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group E game between Flaminia and Follonica Gavorrano finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Follonica Gavorrano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Flaminia carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Follonica Gavorrano a 45% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Flaminia Clean Sheet 10%
Follonica Gavorrano Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Flaminia | Follonica Gavorrano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Flaminia vs Follonica Gavorrano
1:1
Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Flaminia vs Follonica Gavorrano
1:2
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Flaminia
1:2
Feb 25, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Flaminia vs Follonica Gavorrano
0:1
Oct 23, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Flaminia
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Flaminia Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Follonica Gavorrano Compare
Top Goalscorer Pino A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Flaminia 10 / 100
Follonica Gavorrano 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Flaminia Follonica Gavorrano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Follonica Gavorrano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Flaminia scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Follonica Gavorrano conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Flaminia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Flaminia VS Follonica Gavorrano
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Flaminia
(Home) 07 Oct
Flaminia
0 : 3 Siena
04 Oct
Flaminia
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
27 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
20 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
5 : 1 Flaminia
16 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 2 Sasso Marconi
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Flaminia
0 : 3 Siena
04 Oct
Flaminia
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
27 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
16 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 2 Sasso Marconi
06 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 0 Ghiviborgo
Page 1 of 3
Follonica Gavorrano
(Away) 04 Oct
Flaminia
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
27 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 1 Sasso Marconi
20 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 2 Follonica Gavorrano
16 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0 Ghiviborgo
12 Sept
Ternana
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Flaminia
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
20 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 2 Follonica Gavorrano
12 Sept
Ternana
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
26 Apr
Scandicci
1 : 3 Follonica Gavorrano
12 Apr
Sporting Trestina
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Follonica Gavorrano | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 14 |
| 2 | Prato | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 14 |
| 3 | Lucchese | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:11 | 13 |
| 4 | Tau | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 5 | Scandicci | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 11 |
| 6 | Flaminia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 7 | Seravezza Pozzi | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:5 | 10 |
| 8 | Siena | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 10 |
| 9 | Ternana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 10 | Terranuova Traiana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 8 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 12 | Montevarchi | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | 7 |
| 13 | Mezzolara | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 14 | Rondinella | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 5 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 16 | SCD Progresso | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:15 | 3 |
| 17 | Grassina | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:13 | 2 |
| 18 | Ghiviborgo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:10 | 1 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)
