Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Flaminia vs Ghiviborgo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Polidori A.
50'
Poli G.
50'
Poli G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E game between Flaminia and Ghiviborgo finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flaminia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Flaminia
20%
Draws
7%
Ghiviborgo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Flaminia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Flaminia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Flaminia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Flaminia Clean Sheet 20%
Ghiviborgo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flaminia Ghiviborgo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 4
Draws 10 9
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.59 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Flaminia vs Ghiviborgo
2:0
Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Ghiviborgo vs Flaminia
0:4
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Flaminia vs Ghiviborgo
1:3
Apr 23, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Flaminia vs Ghiviborgo
1:0
Dec 11, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Ghiviborgo vs Flaminia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flaminia Compare

Top Goalscorer Polidori A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Ghiviborgo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flaminia 58 / 100
Ghiviborgo 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flaminia Ghiviborgo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flaminia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Flaminia scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Ghiviborgo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Flaminia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Flaminia VS Ghiviborgo
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Flaminia

(Home)
27 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
20 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
5 : 1
Flaminia
16 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 2
Sasso Marconi
13 Sept
Grassina
0 : 1
Flaminia
06 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 0
Ghiviborgo
Page 1 of 6

Ghiviborgo

(Away)
27 Sept
Prato
2 : 1
Ghiviborgo
20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1
Mezzolara
16 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0
Ghiviborgo
12 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 3
Terranuova Traiana
06 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 0
Ghiviborgo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Follonica Gavorrano 5 4 1 0 8:2 13
2 Prato 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
3 Seravezza Pozzi 5 3 1 1 13:3 10
4 Lucchese 5 3 1 1 10:8 10
5 Flaminia 5 3 1 1 8:8 10
6 Tau 5 3 0 2 9:12 9
7 Scandicci 5 2 2 1 8:5 8
8 Siena 5 2 1 2 11:7 7
9 Terranuova Traiana 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
10 Montevarchi 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
12 Mezzolara 5 1 3 1 3:5 6
13 Ternana 5 1 2 2 5:4 5
14 Sasso Marconi 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
15 SCD Progresso 5 1 0 4 3:13 3
16 Grassina 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
17 Rondinella 5 0 2 3 3:9 2
18 Ghiviborgo 5 0 1 4 3:9 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)