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Flaminia vs San Donato Tavarnelle Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Catanese G.
34' Event
Ricozzi S.
45' Event
Ricozzi S.

AI Match Summary

Flaminia in this Serie D - Group E matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Flaminia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Flaminia
20%
Draws
33%
San Donato Tavarnelle
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Flaminia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Flaminia lately — more wins on the board than San Donato Tavarnelle.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and San Donato Tavarnelle have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Flaminia Clean Sheet 10%
San Donato Tavarnelle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flaminia San Donato Tavarnelle
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 9
Draws 11 11
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Flaminia vs San Donato Tavarnelle
2:1
May 4, 2025 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Flaminia
3:1
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Flaminia vs San Donato Tavarnelle
0:2
May 8, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Flaminia vs San Donato Tavarnelle
0:1
Dec 22, 2021 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Flaminia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flaminia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ricozzi S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

San Donato Tavarnelle Compare

Top Goalscorer Catanese G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flaminia 30 / 100
San Donato Tavarnelle 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flaminia San Donato Tavarnelle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flaminia's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

San Donato Tavarnelle let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Flaminia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Flaminia VS San Donato Tavarnelle
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Flaminia

(Home)
27 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
20 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
5 : 1
Flaminia
16 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 2
Sasso Marconi
13 Sept
Grassina
0 : 1
Flaminia
06 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 0
Ghiviborgo
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San Donato Tavarnelle

(Away)
27 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
20 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 2
Follonica Gavorrano
16 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
13 Sept
Sasso Marconi
1 : 3
San Donato Tavarnelle
06 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
2 : 1
Seravezza Pozzi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prato 6 4 2 0 9:4 14
2 Follonica Gavorrano 5 4 1 0 8:2 13
3 Seravezza Pozzi 5 3 1 1 13:3 10
4 Lucchese 5 3 1 1 10:8 10
5 Flaminia 5 3 1 1 8:8 10
6 Tau 5 3 0 2 9:12 9
7 Scandicci 5 2 2 1 8:5 8
8 Terranuova Traiana 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
9 Siena 5 2 1 2 11:7 7
10 Montevarchi 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
12 Mezzolara 5 1 3 1 3:5 6
13 Ternana 5 1 2 2 5:4 5
14 Sasso Marconi 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
15 SCD Progresso 5 1 0 4 3:13 3
16 Grassina 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
17 Rondinella 5 0 2 3 3:9 2
18 Ghiviborgo 5 0 1 4 3:9 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)