Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Flaminia vs Sangiovannese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Ciganda Formi S.

AI Match Summary

Flaminia in this Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Flaminia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Flaminia
30%
Draws
12%
Sangiovannese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Flaminia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Sangiovannese haven't matched Flaminia's recent run of results.
  • Flaminia are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Flaminia Clean Sheet 68%
Sangiovannese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flaminia Sangiovannese
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 10 9
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Flaminia vs Sangiovannese
1:0
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Flaminia
1:0
Mar 12, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Flaminia vs Sangiovannese
2:2
Nov 6, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Flaminia
1:1
May 1, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Flaminia
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flaminia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciganda Formi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Sangiovannese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flaminia 68 / 100
Sangiovannese 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flaminia Sangiovannese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flaminia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Flaminia scored in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Sangiovannese let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Flaminia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Flaminia VS Sangiovannese
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Flaminia

(Home)
27 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
20 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
5 : 1
Flaminia
16 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 2
Sasso Marconi
13 Sept
Grassina
0 : 1
Flaminia
06 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 0
Ghiviborgo
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Sangiovannese

(Away)
26 Aug
Sangiovannese
3 : 3
Scandicci
09 Aug
Sangiovannese
0 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
04 May
Sangiovannese
0 : 1
Terranuova Traiana
27 Apr
Flaminia
1 : 0
Sangiovannese
17 Apr
Sangiovannese
2 : 2
Livorno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Livorno 34 21 9 4 74:44 72
2 Fulgens Foligno 34 17 9 8 61:44 60
3 Seravezza Pozzi 34 16 11 7 53:39 59
4 Ghiviborgo 34 17 4 13 65:57 55
5 Orvietana 34 15 8 11 44:41 53
6 Siena 34 14 10 10 35:32 52
7 Grosseto 34 13 11 10 39:34 50
8 Ostiamare 34 12 9 13 49:53 45
9 Poggibonsi 34 12 7 15 32:36 43
10 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 10 13 26:26 43
11 Montevarchi 34 9 14 11 36:39 41
12 Flaminia 34 10 10 14 42:43 40
13 Follonica Gavorrano 34 10 10 14 40:45 40
14 Terranuova Traiana 34 8 15 11 34:47 39
15 Figline 34 9 11 14 29:33 38
16 Sporting Trestina 34 9 11 14 35:45 38
17 Sangiovannese 34 9 9 16 30:38 36
18 Fezzanese 34 6 8 20 35:63 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Out)