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Flaminia vs Valmontone Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Roberti F.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Bertoldi M.

AI Match Summary

Valmontone in this Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valmontone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Flaminia
15%
Draws
46%
Valmontone
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valmontone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Flaminia at 1.59 per game, Valmontone at 1.43.
  • Valmontone are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Flaminia Clean Sheet 10%
Valmontone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flaminia Valmontone
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 10 3
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.59 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 2.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Flaminia vs Valmontone
0:2
Sep 21, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Valmontone vs Flaminia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flaminia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.76

Valmontone Compare

Top Goalscorer Bertoldi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.91
Avg xA / game 1.17

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flaminia 10 / 100
Valmontone 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flaminia Valmontone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valmontone Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flaminia scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Valmontone conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Flaminia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Flaminia VS Valmontone
1.88 Goals Scored 2.33
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.17
88% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Flaminia

(Home)
27 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
20 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
5 : 1
Flaminia
16 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 2
Sasso Marconi
13 Sept
Grassina
0 : 1
Flaminia
06 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 0
Ghiviborgo
Page 1 of 6

Valmontone

(Away)
03 May
Real Monterotondo
0 : 5
Valmontone
26 Apr
Valmontone
0 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
19 Apr
Cassino
0 : 2
Valmontone
12 Apr
Valmontone
3 : 2
Montespaccato
02 Apr
Budoni Calcio
2 : 3
Valmontone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)