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Flaminia vs Valmontone

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Roberti F.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Bertoldi M.

AI Match Summary

Valmontone in this Serie D - Group G matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valmontone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Flaminia
6%
Draws
90%
Valmontone
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Valmontone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Valmontone lately — more wins on the board than Flaminia.
  • Valmontone are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Flaminia Clean Sheet 20%
Valmontone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flaminia Valmontone
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 11 13
Draws 11 3
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Flaminia vs Valmontone
0:2
Sep 21, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Valmontone vs Flaminia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flaminia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Valmontone Compare

Top Goalscorer Bertoldi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flaminia 10 / 100
Valmontone 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flaminia Valmontone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flaminia scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Valmontone conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Flaminia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Flaminia VS Valmontone
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Flaminia

(Home)
26 Jul
Lazio
6 : 0
Flaminia
10 May
Monastir
3 : 3
Flaminia
03 May
Montespaccato
2 : 4
Flaminia
26 Apr
Flaminia
0 : 1
Budoni Calcio
19 Apr
Nocerina
1 : 1
Flaminia
Page 1 of 7

Valmontone

(Away)
03 May
Real Monterotondo
0 : 5
Valmontone
26 Apr
Valmontone
0 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
19 Apr
Cassino
0 : 2
Valmontone
12 Apr
Valmontone
3 : 2
Montespaccato
02 Apr
Budoni Calcio
2 : 3
Valmontone
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Scafatese34276175:2387
2Trastevere Calcio34179864:4660
3Monastir341581151:4453
4Flaminia341312953:3751
5Albalonga341481255:5550
6Latte Dolce341461449:4948
7Valmontone341461449:5048
8Nocerina341114936:3347
9Sarrabus Ogliastra3412101247:5146
10Budoni Calcio341291333:3245
11Palmese 19143411121141:4345
12Atl. Lodigiani3411111243:4044
13Ischia341271536:5243
14Anzio Calcio 19243410111338:4341
15Real Monterotondo341061839:5836
16Olbia348141239:5036
17Montespaccato346121647:5830
18Cassino34492124:5521
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)