Sport Picks

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Flamurtari vs Tomori Berat

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024 Stadiumi Flamurtari, Vlorë
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Podrimcaku A.
40' Event
Shkurtaj V.
61' Event
Batha I.

AI Match Summary

The Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024 game between Flamurtari and Tomori Berat finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flamurtari.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Flamurtari
30%
Draws
35%
Tomori Berat
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Flamurtari come out ahead of Tomori Berat on wins alone.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Flamurtari taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Flamurtari have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Flamurtari Clean Sheet 68%
Tomori Berat Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamurtari Tomori Berat
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 10 3
Draws 13 2
Losses 11 25
Goals Scored 1.53 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.15 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 Albanian Cup
Flamurtari vs Tomori Berat
9:0
Apr 6, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Flamurtari vs Tomori Berat
3:1
Feb 25, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Tomori Berat vs Flamurtari
1:4
Nov 11, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Flamurtari vs Tomori Berat
1:0
Apr 23, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Flamurtari vs Tomori Berat
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flamurtari Compare

Top Goalscorer Podrimcaku A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shkurtaj V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Tomori Berat Compare

Top Goalscorer Hysolli K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamurtari 95 / 100
Tomori Berat 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamurtari Tomori Berat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flamurtari Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomori Berat has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Flamurtari scored in 79% of their last 34 games.

Flamurtari went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Flamurtari VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Flamurtari

(Home)
20 Sept
Pogradeci
0 : 0
Flamurtari
16 Sept
Kastrioti
1 : 0
Flamurtari
11 Sept
Flamurtari
1 : 1
Burreli
06 Sept
Besa Kavaje
3 : 3
Flamurtari
10 May
Vllaznia
2 : 0
Flamurtari
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Tomori Berat

(Away)
18 Nov
Flamurtari
9 : 0
Tomori Berat
15 Oct
KF Valbona
:
Tomori Berat
16 Oct
Tomori Berat
1 : 2
Iliria Kruja
08 May
Tomori Berat
0 : 2
Lushnja
04 May
AF Elbasani
5 : 0
Tomori Berat
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AF Elbasani 33 24 7 2 76:32 79
2 Bylis 33 22 5 6 55:31 71
3 Flamurtari 33 16 10 7 46:29 58
4 Vora 33 15 5 13 61:50 50
5 Apolonia Fier 33 12 10 11 44:31 46
6 Korabi Peshkopi 33 12 8 13 42:38 44
7 Kastrioti 33 10 10 13 43:47 40
8 Burreli 33 12 4 17 28:43 40
9 Lushnja 33 10 8 15 38:53 38
10 Besa Kavaje 33 10 8 15 34:47 38
11 Luzi 33 9 4 20 41:56 31
12 Tomori Berat 33 4 5 24 21:72 17
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024 (Relegation)