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Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

FA Cup Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood

Rochdale

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FA Cup. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Rochdale have shipped 2.03 goals a game lately, while Fleetwood Town have conceded 1.03 and scored 1.52. Past meetings favor Rochdale slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 26, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.44, favoring Fleetwood Town. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%

Fleetwood Town

15%

Draws

Rochdale

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fleetwood Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence

Fleetwood Town carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Fleetwood Town's way, sitting at 90%.
Fleetwood Town have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Rochdale, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Fleetwood Town Clean Sheet 16%

Rochdale Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fleetwood Town	Rochdale
Matches Played	33	29
Wins	15	9
Draws	10	7
Losses	8	13
Goals Scored	1.52	1.41
Goals Conceded	1.03	2.03
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 League Two

Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale

1:2

Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly

Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale

1:1

Jul 17, 2021 Club Friendly

Rochdale vs Fleetwood Town

3:3

Apr 10, 2021 League One

Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale

1:0

Oct 3, 2020 League One

Rochdale vs Fleetwood Town

2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fleetwood Town 84 / 100

Rochdale 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fleetwood Town Rochdale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fleetwood Town Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fleetwood Town scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Rochdale let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Fleetwood Town stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fleetwood Town VS Rochdale

1.38 Goals Scored 1.38

1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fleetwood Town

(Home)

31 Oct

Fleetwood Town

3 : 1

Bristol Rovers

27 Oct

Fleetwood Town

2 : 1

Arsenal

24 Oct

Exeter

2 : 1

Fleetwood Town

20 Oct

Cheltenham

4 : 2

Fleetwood Town

17 Oct

Fleetwood Town

2 : 0

Rotherham

Page 1 of 7

Rochdale

(Away)

03 Nov

Rochdale

1 : 4

Doncaster

31 Oct

Port Vale

4 : 2

Rochdale

24 Oct

Rochdale

0 : 5

Accrington

20 Oct

Rochdale

2 : 2

Grimsby

17 Oct

Crewe

3 : 2

Rochdale

Page 1 of 6

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Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

Fleetwood Town

Rochdale

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Fleetwood Town

Rochdale

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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