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Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fleetwood Town host Rotherham in the League Two. This one's hard to separate. Rotherham have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Fleetwood Town have conceded 0.97 and scored 1.4. Past meetings favor Fleetwood Town slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 27, 2024, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.13) point toward Fleetwood Town. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Fleetwood Town
15%
Draws
59%
Rotherham
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rotherham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Fleetwood Town have won more games recently than Rotherham.
  • Win probability leans Fleetwood Town's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Fleetwood Town Clean Sheet 20%
Rotherham Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fleetwood Town Rotherham
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 11 10
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.4 1
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2024 EFL Cup
Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham
2:1
Jul 7, 2022 Club Friendly
Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham
0:2
Jan 15, 2022 League One
Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham
1:0
Sep 11, 2021 League One
Rotherham vs Fleetwood Town
2:4
Mar 21, 2020 League One
Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fleetwood Town 58 / 100
Rotherham 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fleetwood Town Rotherham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fleetwood Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fleetwood Town's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Rotherham conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Fleetwood Town remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fleetwood Town VS Rotherham
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fleetwood Town

(Home)
06 Oct
Fleetwood Town
4 : 1
Barnsley
03 Oct
Salford
1 : 0
Fleetwood Town
26 Sept
Fleetwood Town
1 : 2
Rochdale
22 Sept
Oldham
1 : 0
Fleetwood Town
19 Sept
Barnet
3 : 1
Fleetwood Town
Page 1 of 6

Rotherham

(Away)
06 Oct
Rotherham
0 : 4
Bradford City
03 Oct
Exeter
1 : 0
Rotherham
26 Sept
Rotherham
1 : 1
Crewe
22 Sept
York City
1 : 2
Rotherham
19 Sept
Northampton
0 : 1
Rotherham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 9 5 1 3 13:10 16
2 Barnet 7 4 3 0 17:10 15
3 Crewe 9 3 6 0 11:7 15
4 Cheltenham 9 4 3 2 16:14 15
5 Bristol Rovers 9 5 0 4 14:14 15
6 York City 8 4 2 2 16:10 14
7 Walsall 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
8 Chesterfield 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
9 Grimsby 9 3 4 2 13:10 13
10 Gillingham 9 3 4 2 11:9 13
11 Rochdale 9 4 1 4 10:11 13
12 Tranmere 9 2 5 2 12:12 11
13 Swindon 9 3 2 4 9:13 11
14 Shrewsbury 9 3 2 4 9:14 11
15 Newport 9 2 4 3 12:12 10
16 Accrington 9 2 4 3 13:14 10
17 Rotherham 9 2 4 3 11:12 10
18 Fleetwood Town 9 2 4 3 9:10 10
19 Colchester 8 2 4 2 10:12 10
20 Exeter 9 2 3 4 5:6 9
21 Oldham 8 2 1 5 9:13 7
22 Northampton 7 1 3 3 3:6 6
23 Port Vale 7 1 2 4 3:9 5
24 Crawley Town 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)