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Flekkeroy vs Vag - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 Cemo Arena, Kristiansand
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Andersen H.
64'
Gamachis D.
64'
Gamachis D.

AI Match Summary

Vag in this Division 3 - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vag.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Flekkeroy
20%
Draws
52%
Vag
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Vag have won more games recently than Flekkeroy.
  • Vag are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Flekkeroy Clean Sheet 11%
Vag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flekkeroy Vag
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Flekkeroy vs Vag
1:2
May 16, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Vag vs Flekkeroy
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flekkeroy Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersen H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Vag Compare

Top Goalscorer Fuglestad O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wahlstrom C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flekkeroy 10 / 100
Vag 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flekkeroy Vag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vag Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flekkeroy scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Vag has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Flekkeroy has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Flekkeroy VS Vag
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Flekkeroy

(Home)
18 Oct
Flekkeroy
1 : 2
Vag
09 Oct
Flekkeroy
0 : 1
Odds BK 2
03 Oct
Vindbjart
1 : 2
Flekkeroy
27 Sept
Stabaek 2
1 : 2
Flekkeroy
19 Sept
Flekkeroy
1 : 1
Varhaug
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Vag

(Away)
18 Oct
Flekkeroy
1 : 2
Vag
10 Oct
Staal Jorpeland
0 : 4
Vag
03 Oct
Vag
4 : 1
Varhaug
26 Sept
Viking 2
1 : 2
Vag
19 Sept
Vag
2 : 2
Brodd
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