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Flekkeroy vs Varhaug

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 Cemo Arena, Kristiansand
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Knutsen T.
34' Event
Dalbye S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 3 - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Flekkeroy
20%
Draws
47%
Varhaug
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Varhaug

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Flekkeroy lately — more wins on the board than Varhaug.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Flekkeroy Clean Sheet 10%
Varhaug Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flekkeroy Varhaug
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 13 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.76 1.75
Goals Conceded 2 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Flekkeroy vs Varhaug
1:1
May 1, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Varhaug vs Flekkeroy
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flekkeroy Compare

Top Goalscorer Knutsen T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Varhaug Compare

Top Goalscorer Dalbye S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flekkeroy 30 / 100
Varhaug 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flekkeroy Varhaug

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Flekkeroy scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Varhaug let in goals in 79% of their last 24 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Flekkeroy went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Flekkeroy VS Varhaug
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Flekkeroy

(Home)
27 Sept
Stabaek 2
1 : 2
Flekkeroy
19 Sept
Flekkeroy
1 : 1
Varhaug
12 Sept
Mandalskameratene
3 : 1
Flekkeroy
05 Sept
Flekkeroy
0 : 2
Madla IL
30 Aug
Akra
1 : 4
Flekkeroy
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Varhaug

(Away)
25 Sept
Varhaug
4 : 2
Staal Jorpeland
19 Sept
Flekkeroy
1 : 1
Varhaug
14 Sept
Viking 2
4 : 0
Varhaug
05 Sept
Varhaug
3 : 0
Brodd
30 Aug
Mandalskameratene
0 : 2
Varhaug
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