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Fleury 91 W vs Toulouse W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Premiere Ligue Women Terrain Walter Felder, Fleury Merogis
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fleury 91 W host Toulouse W in the Premiere Ligue Women. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Fleury 91 W have averaged 1.35 scored and 1.31 conceded recently, against Toulouse W's 2.07 scored and 1.52 conceded. Head-to-head, Fleury 91 W have won 0 to Toulouse W's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 26, 2025, ending 4:3. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.25) point toward Toulouse W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Fleury 91 W
20%
Draws
10%
Toulouse W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fleury 91 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Fleury 91 W haven't matched Toulouse W's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Fleury 91 W taking it.
  • Regular Premiere Ligue Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Fleury 91 W Clean Sheet 19%
Toulouse W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fleury 91 W Toulouse W
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.35 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Coupe de France Women
Toulouse W vs Fleury 91 W
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fleury 91 W 67 / 100
Toulouse W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fleury 91 W Toulouse W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fleury 91 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Fleury 91 W found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (26 games).

Toulouse W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Fleury 91 W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fleury 91 W VS Toulouse W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fleury 91 W

(Home)
04 Oct
Fleury 91 W
1 : 3
PSG W
19 Sept
Saint-Malo W
0 : 2
Fleury 91 W
12 Sept
Nantes W
1 : 1
Fleury 91 W
04 Sept
Fleury 91 W
1 : 7
OL Lyonnes W
29 Aug
Bourges 18 W
0 : 2
Fleury 91 W
Page 1 of 6

Toulouse W

(Away)
03 Oct
OL Lyonnes W
5 : 0
Toulouse W
19 Sept
Lens W
2 : 2
Toulouse W
12 Sept
Toulouse W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
05 Sept
Montpellier W
5 : 1
Toulouse W
29 Aug
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0
Toulouse W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OL Lyonnes W 4 4 0 0 27:3 12
2 PSG W 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
3 Paris FC W 4 3 0 1 9:8 9
4 Marseille W 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 Le Havre W 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
6 Montpellier W 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
7 Strasbourg W 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
8 Fleury 91 W 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
9 Saint-Malo W 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
10 Nantes W 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
11 Lens W 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
12 Toulouse W 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)