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Fleury-Merogis vs Macon

France France

National 2 - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Koffi P.
(Penalty)
87' Event
Kassa J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 2 - Group D matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Fleury-Merogis
11%
Draws
80%
Macon
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Macon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Macon haven't matched Fleury-Merogis's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Macon's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Fleury-Merogis Clean Sheet 20%
Macon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fleury-Merogis Macon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2 2
Goals Conceded 1.5 5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 5.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 National 2 - Group D
Fleury-Merogis vs Macon
1:1
Jan 13, 2024 National 2 - Group D
Macon vs Fleury-Merogis
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fleury-Merogis Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Macon Compare

Top Goalscorer Kassa J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fleury-Merogis 12 / 100
Macon 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fleury-Merogis Macon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Fleury-Merogis's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Macon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Macon's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fleury-Merogis VS Macon
2 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Fleury-Merogis

(Home)
25 Jul
Versailles
2 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
17 Jul
Creteil
3 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
15 Jul
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 2
Boulogne
11 Jul
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 5
Nantes
15 May
Fleury-Merogis
1 : 2
Rouen
Page 1 of 6

Macon

(Away)
08 Jul
Lyon
5 : 2
Macon
30 Nov
Macon
0 : 2
Sochaux
16 Nov
Guereins
0 : 4
Macon
07 Aug
Macon
1 : 0
Villefranche
18 May
Macon
0 : 1
Haguenau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bourg Peronnas26165548:2550
2Fleury-Merogis26137644:2146
3Furiani Agliani261013331:1843
4FC Bobigny 93261012439:3042
5Creteil26107930:2937
6Biesheim2698929:3435
7Wasquehal26971035:3934
8Feignies-Aulnoye26971028:3234
9Haguenau26951232:4732
10Colmar26941335:4131
11Auxerre II26861232:3230
12Macon266101034:3728
13Besancon RC26671326:3425
14St Quentin26661437:6124
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