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Fleury-Merogis vs Macon

France France

National 2 - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Koffi P.
(Penalty)
87' Event
Kassa J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 2 - Group D matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Fleury-Merogis
15%
Draws
39%
Macon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fleury-Merogis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Macon haven't matched Fleury-Merogis's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Fleury-Merogis's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Fleury-Merogis Clean Sheet 20%
Macon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fleury-Merogis Macon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 National 2 - Group D
Fleury-Merogis vs Macon
1:1
Jan 13, 2024 National 2 - Group D
Macon vs Fleury-Merogis
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fleury-Merogis Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Macon Compare

Top Goalscorer Kassa J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fleury-Merogis 58 / 100
Macon 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fleury-Merogis Macon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fleury-Merogis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Fleury-Merogis's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Macon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Fleury-Merogis stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fleury-Merogis VS Macon
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 5
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Fleury-Merogis

(Home)
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2
Fleury-Merogis
05 Sept
Fleury-Merogis
6 : 1
Villefranche
29 Aug
Quevilly
2 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
20 Aug
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 2
Orleans
14 Aug
Cannes
1 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
Page 1 of 6

Macon

(Away)
08 Jul
Lyon
5 : 2
Macon
30 Nov
Macon
0 : 2
Sochaux
16 Nov
Guereins
0 : 4
Macon
07 Aug
Macon
1 : 0
Villefranche
18 May
Macon
0 : 1
Haguenau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bourg Peronnas 26 16 5 5 48:25 50
2 Fleury-Merogis 26 13 7 6 44:21 46
3 Furiani Agliani 26 10 13 3 31:18 43
4 FC Bobigny 93 26 10 12 4 39:30 42
5 Creteil 26 10 7 9 30:29 37
6 Biesheim 26 9 8 9 29:34 35
7 Wasquehal 26 9 7 10 35:39 34
8 Feignies-Aulnoye 26 9 7 10 28:32 34
9 Haguenau 26 9 5 12 32:47 32
10 Colmar 26 9 4 13 35:41 31
11 Auxerre II 26 8 6 12 32:32 30
12 Macon 26 6 10 10 34:37 28
13 Besancon RC 26 6 7 13 26:34 25
14 St Quentin 26 6 6 14 37:61 24
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