Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fleury-Merogis vs Villefranche

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Robert Bobin, Bondoufle
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Hervieu L.
58'
Sub
Gannoun K. In: Le Mehaute Y.
Out: Gannoun K.
58'
Sub
Homssa N. In: Lavigne V.
Out: Homssa N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Fleury-Merogis
33%
Draws
40%
Villefranche
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Villefranche

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fleury-Merogis lately — more wins on the board than Villefranche.
  • Model gives Villefranche a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Fleury-Merogis Clean Sheet 23%
Villefranche Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fleury-Merogis Villefranche
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Ligue 3
Fleury-Merogis vs Villefranche
2:2
Sep 5, 2025 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Fleury-Merogis
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fleury-Merogis Compare

Top Goalscorer Le Mehaute Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Badin C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Villefranche Compare

Top Goalscorer Mixtur K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fleury-Merogis 29 / 100
Villefranche 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fleury-Merogis Villefranche

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Fleury-Merogis found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Villefranche's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Villefranche lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fleury-Merogis VS Villefranche
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fleury-Merogis

(Home)
25 Jul
Versailles
2 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
17 Jul
Creteil
3 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
15 Jul
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 2
Boulogne
11 Jul
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 5
Nantes
15 May
Fleury-Merogis
1 : 2
Rouen
Page 1 of 6

Villefranche

(Away)
15 Jul
Grenoble
5 : 2
Villefranche
15 May
Concarneau
2 : 2
Villefranche
02 May
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 0
Villefranche
24 Apr
Caen
3 : 0
Villefranche
17 Apr
Villefranche
3 : 1
Paris 13 Atletico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dijon321811352:2565
2Sochaux321610651:2658
3Rouen321413543:2955
4Fleury-Merogis32159847:3054
5Versailles32158946:3453
6Orleans32149942:4251
7Le Puy-en-Velay321211945:3847
8Caen32816839:3440
9Concarneau328141032:3738
10Valenciennes321081435:4437
11Aubagne FC329101338:4637
12Villefranche321071534:4537
13Quevilly32891534:4533
14Paris 13 Atletico327111426:4132
15Bourg Peronnas32871725:4431
16Chateauroux326131335:4930
17Stade Briochin325121535:5027
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)