Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Flieden vs Vellmar

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2017/2018
Flieden Logo

Flieden

1 - 2
FT
Vellmar Logo

Vellmar

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vellmar in this Oberliga Hessen 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vellmar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Flieden
15%
Draws
85%
Vellmar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vellmar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Flieden have won more games recently than Vellmar.
  • Vellmar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Hessen 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Flieden Clean Sheet 13%
Vellmar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flieden Vellmar
Matches Played 39 32
Wins 10 7
Draws 3 7
Losses 26 18
Goals Scored 1.33 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.69 2.91
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2017 Oberliga Hessen
Flieden vs Vellmar
1:2
Aug 5, 2017 Oberliga Hessen
Vellmar vs Flieden
0:3
Mar 26, 2016 Oberliga Hessen
Flieden vs Vellmar
2:2
Nov 21, 2015 Oberliga Hessen
Vellmar vs Flieden
1:4
Nov 22, 2014 Oberliga Hessen
Flieden vs Vellmar
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flieden 10 / 100
Vellmar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flieden Vellmar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vellmar has conceded goals in 97% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Flieden scored in 64% of their last 39 outings.

Vellmar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Flieden VS Vellmar
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 4
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Flieden

(Home)
19 Jul
Flieden
1 : 7
Fulda-Lehnerz
30 Jun
Flieden
0 : 6
Fulda-Lehnerz
14 Feb
Flieden
1 : 2
Neuhof
23 Jul
Flieden
1 : 7
Fulda-Lehnerz
29 May
Zeilsheim
3 : 0
Flieden
Page 1 of 8

Vellmar

(Away)
04 Jul
Vellmar
0 : 4
Kassel
28 Jan
Vellmar
4 : 1
Kassel
26 Jun
Vellmar
0 : 6
Kassel
26 May
Vellmar
1 : 2
SpVgg Neu-Isenburg
12 May
Vellmar
1 : 1
Ederbergland
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hessen Dreieich 32 23 3 6 88:29 72
2 Alzenau 32 19 9 4 89:39 66
3 Fulda-Lehnerz 32 19 9 4 82:41 66
4 Giessen 32 19 6 7 96:37 63
5 Waldgirmes 32 17 6 9 58:42 57
6 Hadamar 32 14 10 8 79:50 52
7 Fulda 32 15 7 10 63:38 52
8 Ginsheim 32 13 7 12 53:51 46
9 Lohfelden 32 13 5 14 52:55 44
10 Baunatal 32 13 5 14 59:52 44
11 SpVgg Neu-Isenburg 32 10 9 13 41:56 39
12 Flieden 32 12 1 19 48:71 37
13 Ederbergland 32 9 7 16 37:73 34
14 Viktoria Griesheim 32 7 6 19 45:89 27
15 RW Frankfurt 32 7 5 20 46:85 26
16 Vellmar 32 6 5 21 41:95 23
17 SV Steinbach 32 3 6 23 39:113 15
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2018/2019 (Main)