Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Flint Mountain vs Holywell Town FC

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Lindfield C.
9' Event
Breese J.
14' Event
Breese J.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2025/2026 game between Flint Mountain and Holywell Town FC finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holywell Town FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Flint Mountain
33%
Draws
40%
Holywell Town FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Holywell Town FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Flint Mountain haven't matched Holywell Town FC's recent run of results.
  • Holywell Town FC are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Flint Mountain Clean Sheet 10%
Holywell Town FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flint Mountain Holywell Town FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 2 8
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 0.75 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 26, 2025 Cymru North
Flint Mountain vs Holywell Town FC
0:3
Jul 26, 2025 Cymru North
Holywell Town FC vs Flint Mountain
2:1
Apr 12, 2025 Cymru North
Flint Mountain vs Holywell Town FC
1:1
Oct 12, 2024 Cymru North
Holywell Town FC vs Flint Mountain
1:2
Oct 13, 2023 FA Cup
Flint Mountain vs Holywell Town FC
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flint Mountain Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Holywell Town FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Breese J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lindfield C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flint Mountain 26 / 100
Holywell Town FC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flint Mountain Holywell Town FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holywell Town FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Flint Mountain scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Flint Mountain stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Flint Mountain VS Holywell Town FC
0.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Flint Mountain

(Home)
18 Apr
Mold Alexandra
3 : 1
Flint Mountain
03 Apr
Flint Mountain
1 : 2
Holyhead
28 Mar
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 1
Flint Mountain
24 Mar
Flint Mountain
1 : 0
Guilsfield
21 Mar
Flint Mountain
2 : 3
Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 6

Holywell Town FC

(Away)
10 Jul
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Mold Alexandra
23 Jun
Holyhead
2 : 2
Holywell Town FC
18 Apr
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Holywell Town FC
08 Apr
Holywell Town FC
6 : 0
Newtown
03 Apr
Holywell Town FC
0 : 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llandudno FC30262277:2280
2Airbus UK Broughton FC30243393:2275
3Holywell Town FC30186678:4060
4Newtown301531251:4948
5Rhyl301441246:5546
6Guilsfield301341350:4843
7Mold Alexandra301251338:4541
8Denbigh301241452:5940
9Caersws FC301141546:5137
10Brickfield Rangers301141539:4937
11Holyhead301061444:4936
12Penrhyncoch301051545:5335
13Buckley30931850:7730
14Flint Mountain30921939:6129
15Gresford30841847:8728
16Ruthin Town30651936:6423
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)