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Flint Mountain vs Newtown

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Starkey-Jones F.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2025/2026 game between Flint Mountain and Newtown finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newtown.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Flint Mountain
15%
Draws
69%
Newtown
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newtown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Flint Mountain haven't matched Newtown's recent run of results.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Newtown taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Flint Mountain Clean Sheet 10%
Newtown Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flint Mountain Newtown
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 2 3
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.27 1.62
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Cymru North
Flint Mountain vs Newtown
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 Cymru North
Newtown vs Flint Mountain
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flint Mountain Compare

Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Newtown Compare

Top Goalscorer Starkey-Jones F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flint Mountain 10 / 100
Newtown 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flint Mountain Newtown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newtown Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Flint Mountain scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Newtown let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Flint Mountain has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Flint Mountain VS Newtown
1.2 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
80% Over 1.5 100%
80% Over 2.5 75%
40% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Flint Mountain

(Home)
18 Apr
Mold Alexandra
3 : 1
Flint Mountain
03 Apr
Flint Mountain
1 : 2
Holyhead
28 Mar
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 1
Flint Mountain
24 Mar
Flint Mountain
1 : 0
Guilsfield
21 Mar
Flint Mountain
2 : 3
Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 6

Newtown

(Away)
05 Sept
Newtown
1 : 0
Denbigh
31 Aug
Bala
0 : 1
Newtown
28 Aug
Newtown
4 : 0
Llanuwchllyn
15 Aug
Newtown
1 : 1
Guilsfield
08 Aug
Newtown
5 : 0
Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 26 2 2 77:22 80
2 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 24 3 3 93:22 75
3 Holywell Town FC 30 18 6 6 78:40 60
4 Newtown 30 15 3 12 51:49 48
5 Rhyl 30 14 4 12 46:55 46
6 Guilsfield 30 13 4 13 50:48 43
7 Mold Alexandra 30 12 5 13 38:45 41
8 Denbigh 30 12 4 14 52:59 40
9 Caersws FC 30 11 4 15 46:51 37
10 Brickfield Rangers 30 11 4 15 39:49 37
11 Holyhead 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
12 Penrhyncoch 30 10 5 15 45:53 35
13 Buckley 30 9 3 18 50:77 30
14 Flint Mountain 30 9 2 19 39:61 29
15 Gresford 30 8 4 18 47:87 28
16 Ruthin Town 30 6 5 19 36:64 23
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)