Sport Picks
Flint Town vs Caernarfon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
FAW Welsh Cup Essity Stadium, Flint 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 3-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Flint Town at 1.74 goals for, 1.55 against; Caernarfon at 1.94 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor Caernarfon slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 4, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 2.88, favoring Caernarfon. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Flint Town haven't matched Caernarfon's recent run of results.
- Caernarfon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Caernarfon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Caernarfon, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Caernarfon here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Flint Town | Caernarfon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 34 |
| Wins | 12 | 17 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.74 | 1.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 2.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Flint Town found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).
Defensive concern: Caernarfon conceded in 68% of 34 recent games.
Recent resilience: Flint Town stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
