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Flint Town vs Colwyn Bay - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Essity Stadium, Flint
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
04:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Flint Town host Colwyn Bay in the Cymru Premier. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Flint Town at 1.34 goals for, 1.66 against; Colwyn Bay at 1.48 for, 1.35 against. Head-to-head, Flint Town have won 2 to Colwyn Bay's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 1, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.19 - 2.06) back Colwyn Bay to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Flint Town
15%
Draws
54%
Colwyn Bay
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colwyn Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Colwyn Bay lately — more wins on the board than Flint Town.
  • Colwyn Bay are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Cymru Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Flint Town Clean Sheet 10%
Colwyn Bay Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flint Town Colwyn Bay
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.34 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 1, 2026 Cymru Premier
Colwyn Bay vs Flint Town
1:2
Oct 7, 2025 Cymru Premier
Flint Town vs Colwyn Bay
0:1
Aug 9, 2022 League Cup
Colwyn Bay vs Flint Town
2:1
Jul 23, 2022 Club Friendly
Colwyn Bay vs Flint Town
3:1
Jan 24, 2020 FAW Welsh Cup
Flint Town vs Colwyn Bay
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flint Town 10 / 100
Colwyn Bay 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flint Town Colwyn Bay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colwyn Bay Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Flint Town found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Colwyn Bay's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Flint Town has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Flint Town VS Colwyn Bay
0.88 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Flint Town

(Home)
03 Oct
Haverfordwest
0 : 1
Flint Town
26 Sept
Flint Town
3 : 0
Ammanford Town
18 Sept
Airbus UK Broughton FC
4 : 1
Flint Town
15 Sept
TNS
5 : 0
Flint Town
11 Sept
Flint Town
1 : 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University
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Colwyn Bay

(Away)
03 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 0
Colwyn Bay
26 Sept
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2
Barry Town
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5
Colwyn Bay
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1
Connahs Q.
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 12 11 1 0 38:5 34
2 Connahs Q. 12 9 1 2 28:8 28
3 Penybont 12 8 3 1 22:10 27
4 Barry Town 12 8 1 3 27:20 25
5 Caernarfon 12 7 2 3 35:14 23
6 Colwyn Bay 12 7 1 4 21:15 22
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 12 6 3 3 23:13 21
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 12 6 0 6 21:17 18
9 Cambrian United 12 5 3 4 21:32 18
10 Llandudno FC 12 5 1 6 21:19 16
11 Briton Ferry 12 3 3 6 11:20 12
12 Haverfordwest 12 3 1 8 7:17 10
13 Flint Town 12 2 2 8 12:24 8
14 Ammanford Town 12 1 3 8 9:32 6
15 Trefelin 12 0 3 9 5:30 3
16 Holywell Town FC 12 0 2 10 13:38 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)