Sport Picks
Match Events
2'
2'
Fall F.
Assist: Begby L.
28'
28'
Skaret B.
Assist: Begby L.
31'
31'
Hanstad J.
Assist: Shein R. R.
AI Match Summary
Fredrikstad in this NM Cup 2025 tie, finishing 0-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
15%
54%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fredrikstad
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Fredrikstad lately — more wins on the board than Flint.
- Model gives Fredrikstad a 54% chance of winning this.
- Fredrikstad arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Fredrikstad, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Flint Clean Sheet 22%
Fredrikstad Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Flint | Fredrikstad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 17 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.43 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 24, 2025 NM Cup
Flint vs Fredrikstad
0:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Flint Compare
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Fredrikstad Compare
Top Goalscorer Fall F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Skaret B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Flint 10 / 100
Fredrikstad 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Flint Fredrikstad
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fredrikstad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Flint scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Fredrikstad conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Flint went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Flint VS Fredrikstad
2 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Flint
(Home) 23 Aug
Flint
2 : 0 Orn
26 Oct
Grei
3 : 4 Flint
18 Oct
Flint
5 : 5 Lokomotiv Oslo
11 Oct
Flint
0 : 2 Orn
04 Oct
Ready
5 : 1 Flint
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
Flint
2 : 0 Orn
18 Oct
Flint
5 : 5 Lokomotiv Oslo
11 Oct
Flint
0 : 2 Orn
27 Sept
Flint
0 : 3 Kvik Halden
13 Sept
Flint
1 : 4 Drobak-Frogn
Page 1 of 4
Fredrikstad
(Away) 04 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 2 Bodo/Glimt
30 Aug
Lillestrom
1 : 4 Fredrikstad
22 Aug
Eidsvold IF
1 : 7 Fredrikstad
16 Aug
Fredrikstad
1 : 0 Kristiansund
08 Aug
Start
0 : 1 Fredrikstad
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Lillestrom
1 : 4 Fredrikstad
22 Aug
Eidsvold IF
1 : 7 Fredrikstad
08 Aug
Start
0 : 1 Fredrikstad
27 Jul
Rosenborg
4 : 0 Fredrikstad
17 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0 Fredrikstad
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
NHHI 1
Sandviken 3
Volda 1
Sogndal 2
Elverum 2
Gjovik-Lyn 0
Ridabu 0
Kongsvinger 12
Melbo 0
Sortland 1
Ulfstind 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 3
Trygg/Lade 0
Strindheim 1
Rindal 1
Rosenborg 11
FK Kvik 0
Stjordals Blink 1
Sverresborg IF 2
Ranheim 4
Vindbjart 0
Jerv 3
Eiger 1
Egersund 7
Gamle Oslo 2
Valerenga 1
Sprint-Jeloy 0
Sarpsborg 08 4
Orn 2
Arendal 1
Teie 0
Sandefjord 5
Nordstrand 3
Ull/Kisa 4
Rollon 0
Aalesund 3
Junkeren 2
Harstad 1
Innstrandens 0
Bodo/Glimt 8
Oppsal 0
Kjelsas 1
Rade 1
Lyn 2
Frigg 1
Lorenskog 3
Lillehammer 0
Ham-Kam 2
OS TF 4
Fana 2
Gneist IL 0
Lysekloster 2
Djerv 1919 2
Sotra 3
Askoy 1
Asane 5
Ullern 2
Follo 5
Kvik Halden 1
Moss 3
Brodd 1
Flekkeroy 3
Hana 0
Viking 6
Fram 4
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Notodden 0
Stabaek 3
Vidar 2
Sandnes Ulf 0
Nord 0
Haugesund 11
Bjorkelangen 1
Strommen 6
Brumunddal 1
Raufoss 4
Assiden 1
Mjondalen 4
Konnerud 0
Stromsgodset 5
Verdal 0
Levanger 8
Mosjoen 0
Rana FK 4
Spjelkavik 0
Traeff 2
Elnesvagen 0
Molde 7
Bjornevatn IL 0
Alta 11
Union Carl Berner 0
Skeid 3
Byasen 3
Nardo 5
Melhus 1
Kristiansund 5
Baerum 3
Grorud 4
Brattvag 1
Hodd 2
Skedsmo 0
Eidsvold TF 5
Skjetten 0
Lillestrom 5
Honefoss 0
Pors 1
Vag 2
Start 4
Flint 3
Odds BK 2
Sarpsborg FK 0
Fredrikstad 4
Torvastad IL 2
V. Haugesund 0
Varhaug 0
Bryne 4
Fjora 1
Bjarg 3
Varegg 0
Brann 6
Skjervoy 2
Floya 1
Hamna 0
Tromso 10
Ready 4
Asker 3
Grei 1
KFUM Oslo 5
1/32-finals
Sandviken 0
Sogndal 4
Elverum 2
Kongsvinger 7
Sortland 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 5
Strindheim 0
Rosenborg 3
Stjordals Blink 1
Ranheim 2
Jerv 0
Egersund 1
Gamle Oslo 1
Sarpsborg 08 6
Orn 0
Sandefjord 2
Ull/Kisa 2
Aalesund 3
Junkeren 1
Bodo/Glimt 5
Kjelsas 0
Lyn 3
Lorenskog 0
Ham-Kam 1
OS TF 5
Lysekloster 4
Sotra 0
Asane 2
Follo 2
Moss 3
Flekkeroy 0
Viking 3
Fram 0
Stabaek 4
Vidar 1
Haugesund 2
Strommen 2
Raufoss 1
Mjondalen 2
Stromsgodset 1
Levanger 1
Rana FK 2
Traeff 1
Molde 2
Alta 3
Skeid 0
Nardo 1
Kristiansund 4
Grorud 3
Hodd 1
Eidsvold TF 0
Lillestrom 2
Pors 3
Start 2
Flint 0
Fredrikstad 5
Torvastad IL 1
Bryne 2
Bjarg 0
Brann 2
Skjervoy 0
Tromso 1
Ready 0
KFUM Oslo 3
1/16-finals
Sogndal 3
Kongsvinger 4
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 0
Rosenborg 5
Ranheim 2
Egersund 3
Sarpsborg 08 3
Sandefjord 1
Aalesund 1
Bodo/Glimt 0
Lyn 0
Ham-Kam 2
OS TF 1
Asane 4
Moss 0
Viking 1
Stabaek 2
Haugesund 1
Strommen 1
Mjondalen 3
Rana FK 0
Molde 4
Alta 0
Kristiansund 4
Grorud 2
Lillestrom 3
Pors 1
Fredrikstad 3
Bryne 2
Brann 1
Tromso 0
KFUM Oslo 1
1/8-finals
Kongsvinger 2
Rosenborg 3
Egersund 1
Sarpsborg 08 3
Aalesund 3
Ham-Kam 2
Asane 0
Viking 7
Stabaek 4
Mjondalen 3
Molde 3
Kristiansund 4
Lillestrom 2
Fredrikstad 1
Bryne 0
KFUM Oslo 2
Quarter-finals
Rosenborg 2
Sarpsborg 08 3
Aalesund 0
Viking 1
Stabaek 2
Kristiansund 3
Lillestrom 2
KFUM Oslo 0
Semi-finals
Sarpsborg 08 1
Viking 0
Kristiansund 0
Lillestrom 2
Final
Sarpsborg 08 1
Lillestrom 3
