Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Flora Tallinn U21 vs Elva

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Sportland Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Lorenz K.
Assist: Jakovenko A.
27' Event
Mbuthia J.
Assist: Evans K.
32' Event
Mbuthia J.
Assist: Neltsas R.

AI Match Summary

Flora Tallinn U21 in this Esiliiga matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Flora Tallinn U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Flora Tallinn U21
6%
Draws
90%
Elva
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Elva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Elva have won more games recently than Flora Tallinn U21.
  • Win probability leans Elva's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Flora Tallinn U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Elva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flora Tallinn U21 Elva
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 6 3
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2 2
Goals Conceded 2 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2026 Esiliiga
Elva vs Flora Tallinn U21
0:3
Apr 23, 2026 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Elva
3:2
Nov 2, 2025 Esiliiga
Elva vs Flora Tallinn U21
2:0
Jul 12, 2025 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Elva
2:0
May 29, 2025 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Elva
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flora Tallinn U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lorenz K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silm J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Elva Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbuthia J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flora Tallinn U21 10 / 100
Elva 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flora Tallinn U21 Elva

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flora Tallinn U21 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Elva has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Flora Tallinn U21 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Flora Tallinn U21 VS Elva
2 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu JK Welco20143362:2645
2Viimsi JK1995531:1932
3Flora Tallinn U211994646:3831
4Elva2093837:3330
5Levadia U2120901139:3527
6Maardu Linnameeskond2075830:4726
7Tallinna Kalev2074940:4025
8FC Tallinn20551027:4920
9Nomme Utd U211955936:4520
10Kalju U2119541030:4619