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Flora Tallinn U21 vs FC Tallinn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Sportland Arena, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Arhipov L.
65' Event
Neltsas R.
Own Goal
76' Event
Leis L.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga game between Flora Tallinn U21 and FC Tallinn finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Tallinn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Flora Tallinn U21
20%
Draws
40%
FC Tallinn
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Flora Tallinn U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Flora Tallinn U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Flora Tallinn U21 Clean Sheet 16%
FC Tallinn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flora Tallinn U21 FC Tallinn
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.41 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs FC Tallinn
1:2
Aug 1, 2026 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn U21
1:0
Jun 18, 2026 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn U21
1:3
Apr 10, 2026 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs FC Tallinn
5:0
Oct 27, 2025 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs FC Tallinn
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flora Tallinn U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

FC Tallinn Compare

Top Goalscorer Arhipov L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flora Tallinn U21 84 / 100
FC Tallinn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flora Tallinn U21 FC Tallinn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flora Tallinn U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flora Tallinn U21's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

FC Tallinn let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Flora Tallinn U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Flora Tallinn U21 VS FC Tallinn
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Flora Tallinn U21

(Home)
18 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
2 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
13 Sept
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2
Elva
10 Sept
Kalju U21
1 : 5
Flora Tallinn U21
04 Sept
Levadia U21
6 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
29 Aug
Flora Tallinn U21
5 : 0
Tallinna Kalev
Page 1 of 6

FC Tallinn

(Away)
03 Oct
FC Tallinn
0 : 10
Harju JK Laagri
22 Sept
FC Tallinn
5 : 0
Harju JK Laagri U21
19 Sept
Elva
1 : 1
FC Tallinn
13 Sept
FC Tallinn
1 : 5
Levadia U21
10 Sept
FC Tallinn
4 : 0
Maardu Linnameeskond
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 32 21 5 6 85:39 68
2 Viimsi JK 31 16 5 10 56:31 53
3 Flora Tallinn U21 32 15 6 11 73:55 51
4 Elva 32 15 6 11 47:48 51
5 Levadia U21 31 15 2 14 61:55 47
6 Tallinna Kalev 30 11 7 12 52:55 40
7 Nomme Utd U21 32 11 6 15 50:63 39
8 FC Tallinn 31 9 8 14 41:64 35
9 Kalju U21 31 7 4 20 38:79 25
10 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 12 5 19 45:59 41
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)