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Flora Tallinn U21 vs Tartu JK Welco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Sportland Arena, Tallinn
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Flora Tallinn U21 host Tartu JK Welco in the Esiliiga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Flora Tallinn U21 at 2.27 goals for, 1.57 against; Tartu JK Welco at 2.97 for, 1.24 against. Head-to-head, Flora Tallinn U21 have won 0 to Tartu JK Welco's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.63 - 2.06) back Tartu JK Welco to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Flora Tallinn U21
30%
Draws
43%
Tartu JK Welco
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tartu JK Welco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tartu JK Welco come out ahead of Flora Tallinn U21 on wins alone.
  • Tartu JK Welco are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Flora Tallinn U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Tartu JK Welco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flora Tallinn U21 Tartu JK Welco
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 18
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 2.27 2.97
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Flora Tallinn U21
2:1
May 17, 2026 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Flora Tallinn U21
3:3
Mar 14, 2026 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Tartu JK Welco
1:6
Nov 9, 2025 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Tartu JK Welco
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Flora Tallinn U21
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flora Tallinn U21 18 / 100
Tartu JK Welco 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flora Tallinn U21 Tartu JK Welco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tartu JK Welco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flora Tallinn U21 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Tartu JK Welco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Flora Tallinn U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Flora Tallinn U21 VS Tartu JK Welco
2.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Flora Tallinn U21

(Home)
19 Oct
Maardu Linnameeskond
:
Flora Tallinn U21
10 Oct
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2
FC Tallinn
18 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
2 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
13 Sept
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2
Elva
10 Sept
Kalju U21
1 : 5
Flora Tallinn U21
Page 1 of 6

Tartu JK Welco

(Away)
09 Oct
Tartu JK Welco
4 : 0
Elva
17 Sept
Viimsi JK
0 : 2
Tartu JK Welco
14 Sept
Tartu JK Welco
3 : 0
Kalju U21
10 Sept
Levadia U21
0 : 0
Tartu JK Welco
05 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 1
Tartu JK Welco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 32 21 5 6 85:39 68
2 Viimsi JK 32 17 5 10 58:32 56
3 Flora Tallinn U21 32 15 6 11 73:55 51
4 Elva 32 15 6 11 47:48 51
5 Levadia U21 32 16 2 14 62:55 50
6 Tallinna Kalev 31 11 7 13 53:57 40
7 Nomme Utd U21 32 11 6 15 50:63 39
8 FC Tallinn 31 9 8 14 41:64 35
9 Kalju U21 32 7 4 21 38:80 25
10 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 12 5 19 45:59 41
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)