Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Flora vs Kalju

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Kuraksin D.
Assist: Alamaa S.
32' Event
Siht R.
45' Event
Kuraksin D.
Assist: Zenjov S.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Flora and Kalju finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Flora
15%
Draws
27%
Kalju
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Flora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Flora come out ahead of Kalju on wins alone.
  • Model gives Flora a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Flora Clean Sheet 10%
Kalju Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flora Kalju
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 19 15
Draws 3 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.94 2.09
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Kalju
2:1
May 10, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Flora
0:1
Mar 15, 2026 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Kalju
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 Super Cup
Flora vs Kalju
1:3
Sep 28, 2025 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Flora
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flora Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuraksin D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Kalju Compare

Top Goalscorer Siht R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flora 65 / 100
Kalju 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flora Kalju

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flora found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (34 games).

Flora has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Kalju conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Flora VS Kalju
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Flora

(Home)
20 Sept
Flora
3 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3
Flora
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2
Flora
05 Sept
Flora
2 : 1
Kalju
02 Sept
Flora
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
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Kalju

(Away)
20 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 3
Kalju
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0
Narva
08 Sept
Kalju
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
05 Sept
Flora
2 : 1
Kalju
30 Aug
Kalju
2 : 3
Levadia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 29 15 5 9 52:27 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 29 14 2 13 37:47 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 29 10 4 15 39:57 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 29 9 1 19 47:68 28
10 Narva 29 5 4 20 22:65 19
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)