Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Flora vs Kuressaare

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Antonov I.
27' Event
Visse A.
Assist: Jurisoo T.
30' Event
Andreas D.
Assist: Jurisoo T.

AI Match Summary

Kuressaare in this Meistriliiga matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kuressaare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Flora
15%
Draws
65%
Kuressaare
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kuressaare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Flora lately — more wins on the board than Kuressaare.
  • Model gives Kuressaare a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Flora here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Flora Clean Sheet 10%
Kuressaare Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flora Kuressaare
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 2 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.93 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Kuressaare
2:3
Jul 2, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Flora
0:3
Apr 7, 2026 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Kuressaare
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Kuressaare
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Flora
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flora Compare

Top Goalscorer Alamaa S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Kuressaare Compare

Top Goalscorer Visse A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andreas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flora 10 / 100
Kuressaare 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flora Kuressaare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kuressaare Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flora's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Kuressaare has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Flora has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Flora VS Kuressaare
1 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Flora

(Home)
30 Aug
Flora
1 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
26 Aug
Tammeka Tartu
3 : 1
Flora
23 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 2
Flora
16 Aug
Flora
2 : 3
Kuressaare
13 Aug
Flora
0 : 4
Inter Escaldes
Page 1 of 6

Kuressaare

(Away)
29 Aug
Kuressaare
2 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
22 Aug
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 0
Kuressaare
16 Aug
Flora
2 : 3
Kuressaare
11 Aug
Kristiine
0 : 8
Kuressaare
07 Aug
Kuressaare
3 : 2
Harju JK Laagri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 24 18 5 1 64:20 59
2 Kalju 25 13 5 7 45:22 44
3 Flora 24 14 0 10 46:30 42
4 Paide Linnameeskond 24 12 6 6 40:31 42
5 Tammeka Tartu 23 12 2 9 29:32 38
6 Harju JK Laagri 25 10 1 14 36:41 31
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 24 8 4 12 33:46 28
8 Nomme Utd 25 8 1 16 42:60 25
9 Kuressaare 25 7 4 14 27:41 25
10 Narva 25 5 2 18 18:57 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)