Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Flora vs Levadia

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Flora host Levadia in the Meistriliiga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Flora at 1.97 goals for, 1.41 against; Levadia at 2.94 for, 0.75 against. Head-to-head, Flora have won 3 to Levadia's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 2.88) point toward Levadia. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Flora
20%
Draws
40%
Levadia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Levadia lately — more wins on the board than Flora.
  • Levadia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Flora Clean Sheet 10%
Levadia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flora Levadia
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 20 25
Draws 3 5
Losses 11 2
Goals Scored 1.97 2.94
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Flora
1:2
Jun 13, 2026 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Levadia
1:3
Apr 19, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Flora
4:0
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Flora vs Levadia
1:0
Oct 29, 2025 Estonian Cup
Flora vs Levadia
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flora 10 / 100
Levadia 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flora Levadia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flora's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Flora went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Levadia has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Flora VS Levadia
1.63 Goals Scored 3.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Flora

(Home)
20 Sept
Flora
3 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3
Flora
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2
Flora
05 Sept
Flora
2 : 1
Kalju
02 Sept
Flora
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
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Levadia

(Away)
20 Sept
Narva
1 : 1
Levadia
17 Sept
Levadia
6 : 0
Tammeka Tartu
12 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
09 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Kuressaare
06 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 2
Levadia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 29 15 5 9 52:27 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 29 14 2 13 37:47 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 29 10 4 15 39:57 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 29 9 1 19 47:68 28
10 Narva 29 5 4 20 22:65 19
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)