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Stadium Background

Flora vs Narva - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Flora Logo

Flora

2 - 0
FT
Narva Logo

Narva

Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Agaptsev S.
46'
Sub
Filatov A. In: Kudriashov V.
Out: Filatov A.
46'
Sub
Agaptsev S. In: Elysee
Out: Agaptsev S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Flora in this Meistriliiga matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Flora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Flora
15%
Draws
0%
Narva
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Flora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Flora lately — more wins on the board than Narva.
  • Win probability leans Flora's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Flora have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Flora Clean Sheet 16%
Narva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flora Narva
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 16 7
Draws 3 5
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 2.03 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Narva
2:0
Sep 8, 2026 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Flora
2:2
May 16, 2026 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Flora
0:3
May 5, 2026 Estonian Cup
Flora vs Narva
1:0
Apr 22, 2026 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Narva
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flora Compare

Top Goalscorer Kreida V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zenjov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Narva Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flora 84 / 100
Narva 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flora Narva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flora scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Away concern: Narva has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Narva has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Flora VS Narva
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Flora

(Home)
01 Nov
Flora
2 : 0
Narva
29 Oct
Flora
10 : 1
Tallinna Kalev U21
25 Oct
Kalju
2 : 1
Flora
21 Oct
Harju JK Laagri
3 : 1
Flora
18 Oct
Flora
2 : 0
Tammeka Tartu
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Narva

(Away)
01 Nov
Flora
2 : 0
Narva
27 Oct
Narva
0 : 1
Nomme Utd
23 Oct
Tammeka Tartu
5 : 1
Narva
18 Oct
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Narva
14 Oct
Narva
0 : 1
Kuressaare
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 35 28 6 1 95:27 90
2 Paide Linnameeskond 35 19 6 10 54:41 63
3 Flora 35 20 1 14 66:49 61
4 Kalju 35 18 6 11 59:34 60
5 Tammeka Tartu 35 17 2 16 50:55 53
6 Harju JK Laagri 35 15 2 18 50:52 47
7 Nomme Utd 35 12 1 22 58:80 37
8 Parnu JK Vaprus 35 10 7 18 46:69 37
9 Kuressaare 35 10 6 19 35:54 36
10 Narva 35 5 5 25 26:78 20
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)