Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Flora vs Tammeka Tartu

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Kukkonen M.
Assist: Valdmets R.
22' Event
Zenjov S.
42' Event
Pedmanson H.
Assist: Veelma P.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Flora and Tammeka Tartu finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Flora
15%
Draws
27%
Tammeka Tartu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Flora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Flora carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Flora Clean Sheet 10%
Tammeka Tartu Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flora Tammeka Tartu
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 16
Draws 3 2
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.06 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Tammeka Tartu
3:2
Aug 26, 2026 Meistriliiga
Tammeka Tartu vs Flora
3:1
Apr 3, 2026 Meistriliiga
Tammeka Tartu vs Flora
3:1
Sep 20, 2025 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Tammeka Tartu
2:1
Jul 20, 2025 Meistriliiga
Tammeka Tartu vs Flora
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flora Compare

Top Goalscorer Zenjov S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kukkonen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Tammeka Tartu Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedmanson H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flora 30 / 100
Tammeka Tartu 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flora Tammeka Tartu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tammeka Tartu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Flora scored in 94% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Flora has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Tammeka Tartu conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Flora VS Tammeka Tartu
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Flora

(Home)
20 Sept
Flora
3 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3
Flora
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2
Flora
05 Sept
Flora
2 : 1
Kalju
02 Sept
Flora
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
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Tammeka Tartu

(Away)
20 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 3
Kalju
17 Sept
Levadia
6 : 0
Tammeka Tartu
13 Sept
Kuressaare
1 : 3
Tammeka Tartu
09 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
0 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
06 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 29 15 5 9 52:27 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 29 14 2 13 37:47 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 29 10 4 15 39:57 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 29 9 1 19 47:68 28
10 Narva 29 5 4 20 22:65 19
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)