Sport Picks
Flora vs Tartu JK Welco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Estonia
Estonian Cup A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn 
Match Events
1'
1'
Kablik H.
13'
13'
Sossi M.
16'
16'
Teevali T.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 7-2. The second leg ended 7-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tartu JK Welco
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tartu JK Welco come out ahead of Flora on wins alone.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Flora taking it.
- Tartu JK Welco arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Flora, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Flora here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Flora Clean Sheet 10%
Tartu JK Welco Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Flora | Tartu JK Welco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 20 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 3.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 4, 2026 Estonian Cup
Flora vs Tartu JK Welco
7:2
Jul 17, 2016 Estonian Cup
Tartu JK Welco vs Flora
0:8
Sep 29, 2015 Estonian Cup
Tartu JK Welco vs Flora
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Flora Compare
Top Goalscorer Teevali T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kuraksin D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Tartu JK Welco Compare
Top Goalscorer Kablik H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Veensalu E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Flora 83 / 100
Tartu JK Welco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Flora Tartu JK Welco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Flora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Flora found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 6.33 goals per match.
Tartu JK Welco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
Solid form: Flora remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Flora VS Tartu JK Welco
2.63 Goals Scored 3.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Flora
(Home) 04 Nov
Flora
7 : 2 Tartu JK Welco
01 Nov
Flora
2 : 0 Narva
29 Oct
Flora
10 : 1 Tallinna Kalev U21
25 Oct
Kalju
2 : 1 Flora
21 Oct
Harju JK Laagri
3 : 1 Flora
Page 1 of 6
04 Nov
Flora
7 : 2 Tartu JK Welco
01 Nov
Flora
2 : 0 Narva
29 Oct
Flora
10 : 1 Tallinna Kalev U21
18 Oct
Flora
2 : 0 Tammeka Tartu
15 Oct
Flora
1 : 3 Levadia
Page 1 of 4
Tartu JK Welco
(Away) 08 Nov
Tartu JK Welco
: Maardu Linnameeskond
04 Nov
Flora
7 : 2 Tartu JK Welco
31 Oct
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2 Tartu JK Welco
23 Oct
Tartu JK Welco
3 : 2 Tallinna Kalev
18 Oct
Tartu JK Welco
4 : 3 Nomme Utd U21
Page 1 of 6
04 Nov
Flora
7 : 2 Tartu JK Welco
31 Oct
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2 Tartu JK Welco
15 Oct
FC Tallinn
0 : 7 Tartu JK Welco
17 Sept
Viimsi JK
0 : 2 Tartu JK Welco
10 Sept
Levadia U21
0 : 0 Tartu JK Welco
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Arsenal 0
Tallinna Kalev U21 3
Rakvere FC Freedom 3
Kena JK 2
EstHam United -
TBD -
Kose 8
Kummik 0
Rumori Calcio II -
TBD -
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani 0
Elva 4
Arukula Vigri -
TBD -
TBD -
Raasiku Joker -
Tammeka Tartu U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Tartu Kalev 4
Paide Linnameeskond III 3
TBD -
Kuusalu Kalev -
Narva 10
Vana Hea Puur 0
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
Marjamaa Kompanii -
TBD -
TBD -
Generation Tallinn -
JK Poseidon -
TBD -
Helm 30
Deliirium 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
Hiiumaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Tulevik -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Raplamaa -
Johvi Phoenix 4
Elva III 2
TBD -
FC Hell Hunt -
Lahte United 1
Tabasalu Ulasabat 3
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Kristiine -
TBD -
TBD -
Jogeva Wolves -
Kuressaare -
TBD -
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco 2 -
TransferWise -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympic Tallinn -
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
Legion -
Kohvile -
TBD -
TBD -
Rumori Calcio -
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Zealot Sporting -
Tartu Helios -
TBD -
TBD -
Soccernet -
Viimsi JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Nomme Utd U19 -
FC Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
Saue JK Laagri 6
Viimsi Lovid 0
TBD -
Harju JK Laagri U21 -
Harju JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
Rae Spordikool -
Tallinna Wolves 0
Tabasalu 10
TBD -
Tamper -
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
TalTech JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Keila JK -
Flora U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Pohja-Tallinna -
1/32-finals
Flora -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 4
Rakvere FC Freedom 2
EstHam United 1
Kose 5
Rumori Calcio II 0
Tartu JK Welco 12
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Elva 6
Arukula Vigri 0
Raasiku Joker 1
Tammeka Tartu U19 0
Tallinna Kalev 8
Tartu Kalev 7
Kuusalu Kalev 0
Narva 1
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Marjamaa Kompanii 8
Generation Tallinn 4
JK Poseidon 3
Helm 2
TBD -
Kalju -
Hiiumaa 4
Tulevik 1
Nomme Utd 12
Raplamaa 0
Johvi Phoenix 8
FC Hell Hunt 1
Tabasalu Ulasabat 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 4
Kristiine 8
Jogeva Wolves 3
Kuressaare 5
Tartu JK Welco 2 1
TransferWise 3
Olympic Tallinn 6
Saku Sporting 2
Legion 1
Kohvile 1
Rumori Calcio 4
Tammeka Tartu 19
Zealot Sporting 0
Tartu Helios -
Soccernet -
Viimsi JK 4
Nomme Utd U19 0
FC Tallinn 4
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Saue JK Laagri 1
Harju JK Laagri U21 2
Harju JK Laagri 8
Rae Spordikool 0
Tabasalu 0
Tamper 2
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
TalTech JK 0
Keila JK 6
Flora U19 6
Pohja-Tallinna 3
1/16-finals
Flora 10
Tallinna Kalev U21 1
Kose 0
Tartu JK Welco 8
Elva -
Raasiku Joker -
Tallinna Kalev 8
Tartu Kalev 0
Narva 8
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
JK Poseidon 0
Kalju 12
Hiiumaa 0
Nomme Utd 2
Johvi Phoenix 0
Parnu JK Vaprus 5
Kristiine 0
Kuressaare 8
Olympic Tallinn 0
Saku Sporting 7
Rumori Calcio 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Tartu Helios 1
Viimsi JK 4
FC Tallinn 5
Harju JK Laagri U21 0
Harju JK Laagri 3
Tamper 1
Levadia 4
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Keila JK 3
Flora U19 2
1/8-finals
Flora 7
Tartu JK Welco 2
Elva 3
Tallinna Kalev 2
Narva 2
Kalju 0
Nomme Utd 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 2
Kuressaare 4
Saku Sporting 2
Tammeka Tartu 4
Viimsi JK 1
FC Tallinn 0
Harju JK Laagri 10
Levadia 10
Keila JK 0
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
