Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Flora vs Valga Warrior Prediction & H2H Stats

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2018/2019 A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Gussev M.
14' Event
Sorga E.
22' Event
Sinyavskiy V.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 13-0, with Flora advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Flora
15%
Draws
16%
Valga Warrior
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Flora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Flora come out ahead of Valga Warrior on wins alone.
  • Flora are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Flora have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Flora, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Flora have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Flora Clean Sheet 20%
Valga Warrior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flora Valga Warrior
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 3
Draws 3 3
Losses 9 24
Goals Scored 2.33 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.37 4.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2018 Estonian Cup
Flora vs Valga Warrior
13:0
Oct 29, 2006 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Valga Warrior
6:0
Jul 22, 2006 Meistriliiga
Valga Warrior vs Flora
0:5
May 13, 2006 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Valga Warrior
2:0
Apr 22, 2006 Meistriliiga
Valga Warrior vs Flora
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flora Compare

Top Goalscorer Sorga E.
7 Goals
Assists Leader Poom M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Valga Warrior Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flora 85 / 100
Valga Warrior 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flora Valga Warrior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flora found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Valga Warrior has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 5.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Flora remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Flora VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Flora

(Home)
20 Sept
Flora
3 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3
Flora
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2
Flora
05 Sept
Flora
2 : 1
Kalju
02 Sept
Flora
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
Page 1 of 6

Valga Warrior

(Away)
26 Jul
Valga Warrior
1 : 6
JK Poseidon
09 Jul
Valga Warrior
0 : 6
Elva
24 Jul
Valga Warrior
1 : 4
Kristiine
10 Jul
Valga Warrior
:
FCT Titans
29 Jul
Imavere Forss
5 : 1
Valga Warrior
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Narva -
TBD -
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 3
Imavere Forss 4
Tallinna Depoo -
TBD -
FCP Parnu 0
Kadrina SK Moe 3
Tallinn Piraaja -
TBD -
TBD -
Helios II -
Otepaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Jogeva -
Laanemaa Haapsalu 4
Tallinna Kalev III 3
TBD -
Kalju III -
Kohtla-Nomme 3
TransferWise 2
TBD -
Teleios -
Sillamae Kalev -
TBD -
Jogeva Wolves 3
Tulevik Viljandi II 4
Pohja-Tallinna 2 9
Puhkus Mehhikos 2
Tulevik 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 3
Tabasalu 3
Paide Linnameeskond U21 0
TBD -
Lelle -
Raasiku Joker -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Poseidon -
Kose -
TBD -
Viimsi Lovid 2
Koeru 3
Marjamaa Kompanii 10
Tallinna Wolves 0
TBD -
Zenit Tallinn -
Viimsi JK 2 3
JK Poseidon II 0
TBD -
Maksatransport -
Igiliikur 5
FC Ararat 4
TBD -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II -
Viimsi JK -
TBD -
Mulgi 1
Ambla 2
Eston Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
Elva -
Kalju -
TBD -
Anija 1
Sillamae 2
Vaimastvere SK Illi 8
Raudteetoolised 0
FC Lootos Polva 0
Kuressaare 22
Santos Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Vastseliina Tannem -
Rumori Calcio 3
Raplamaa 0
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Jarva-Jaani -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
Maardu United -
TBD -
TBD -
Aksi Wolves -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
TBD -
Mauruse Saurused 2
Maardu United II 21
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 3
Torva JK 1
Pohja-Tallinna 0
Tammeka Tartu 3
Paide Linnameeskond -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna JK Augur -
Kadakas -
TBD -
Kohila 1
Paide Linnameeskond II 6
Parnu JK Vaprus 2
Loo JK 1
FC Tallinn -
Molycorp Silmet -
Rakvere -
TBD -
Pohja-Sakala 1
Legion 3
Flora 16
Olympic Tallinn 0
TBD -
Helios -
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
TBD -
Viking 1
Valga Warrior 5
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora U19 -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
Soccernet 0
Levadia 12
1/32-finals
Narva 10
Imavere Forss 0
Tallinna Depoo 0
Kadrina SK Moe 2
Tallinn Piraaja 7
Helios II 0
Otepaa 3
Jogeva 7
Laanemaa Haapsalu 6
Kalju III 0
Kohtla-Nomme 1
Teleios 4
Sillamae Kalev 4
Tulevik Viljandi II 2
Pohja-Tallinna 2 1
Maardu Linnameeskond 5
Tabasalu 6
Lelle 0
Raasiku Joker 4
JK Poseidon 5
Kose -
Koeru -
Marjamaa Kompanii 3
Zenit Tallinn 4
Viimsi JK 2 3
Maksatransport 2
Igiliikur 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 2
Viimsi JK 6
Ambla 1
Eston Villa 0
Elva 4
Kalju 16
Sillamae 0
Vaimastvere SK Illi 0
Kuressaare 15
Santos Tartu 5
Vastseliina Tannem 2
Rumori Calcio 1
Tallinna Kalev 8
Jarva-Jaani 3
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Maardu United -
Aksi Wolves -
Flora Tallinn U21 10
Maardu United II 0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
Tammeka Tartu 2
Paide Linnameeskond 15
Tallinna JK Augur 1
Kadakas 4
Paide Linnameeskond II 10
Parnu JK Vaprus 2
Molycorp Silmet 1
Rakvere 0
Legion 3
Flora 13
Helios 0
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Valga Warrior 7
Tartu JK Welco 1
Flora U19 0
Nomme Utd 1
Levadia 4
1/16-finals
Narva 7
Kadrina SK Moe 0
Tallinn Piraaja 3
Jogeva 4
Laanemaa Haapsalu 14
Teleios 1
Sillamae Kalev 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 4
Tabasalu 3
JK Poseidon 0
Kose 2
Zenit Tallinn 4
Viimsi JK 2 3
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 2
Viimsi JK 2
Elva 3
Kalju 3
Kuressaare 2
Santos Tartu 0
Tallinna Kalev 3
Jarva-Jaani 5
Aksi Wolves 0
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Paide Linnameeskond II 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 0
Legion 3
Flora 13
Valga Warrior 0
Tartu JK Welco 0
Levadia 5
1/8-finals
Narva 8
Jogeva 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 4
Tabasalu 6
Zenit Tallinn 1
Viimsi JK 2 0
Elva 3
Kalju 3
Tallinna Kalev 0
Jarva-Jaani 0
Tammeka Tartu 6
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Legion 1
Flora 1
Levadia 2
Quarter-finals
Narva 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 0
Tabasalu 1
Elva 5
Kalju 2
Tammeka Tartu 1
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Levadia 4
Semi-finals
Narva 5
Elva 0
Kalju 3
Levadia 2
Final
Narva 2
Kalju 1