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Flora vs Viljandi Prediction & H2H Stats

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2011/2012
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
75' Event
85' Event

AI Match Summary

Flora in this Estonian Cup 2011/2012 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Flora
20%
Draws
19%
Viljandi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Flora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Flora have won more games recently than Viljandi.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Flora taking it.
  • Flora have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Flora, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Flora have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Flora Clean Sheet 68%
Viljandi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flora Viljandi
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 25 8
Draws 3 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 2.21 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2012 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Viljandi
5:0
Aug 28, 2012 Meistriliiga
Viljandi vs Flora
0:2
Jun 26, 2012 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Viljandi
5:0
Apr 24, 2012 Estonian Cup
Flora vs Viljandi
3:0
Mar 17, 2012 Meistriliiga
Viljandi vs Flora
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flora 95 / 100
Viljandi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flora Viljandi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flora found the back of the net in 92% of recent matches (39 games).

Defensive concern: Viljandi conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Flora went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Flora VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Flora

(Home)
20 Sept
Flora
3 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3
Flora
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2
Flora
05 Sept
Flora
2 : 1
Kalju
02 Sept
Flora
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
Page 1 of 8

Viljandi

(Away)
16 Apr
Tammeka Tartu
:
Viljandi
03 Nov
Viljandi
0 : 5
Sillamae Kalev
27 Oct
Kuressaare
3 : 3
Viljandi
24 Oct
Viljandi
3 : 1
Flora Tallinn U21
20 Oct
Viljandi
2 : 5
Narva
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Paide Linnameeskond -
TBD -
TBD -
Tabasalu II -
SK Taaksi -
TBD -
TBD -
Kivioli Irbis -
Voru -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallina Mercury -
Tammeka Tartu II 5
Valga Warrior 1
TBD -
Sillamae Kalev -
Saaremaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Saku Sporting -
Tallinn Piraaja -
TBD -
TBD -
Leisi -
Soccernet -
TBD -
Warrior Valga II 2
Akhtamar 4
Quattromed -
TBD -
Reaal 1
Parnu Linnameeskond 9
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Pokkeriprod -
Olympic Tallinn 6
FC KIIU 1
Otepaa II 0
Raasiku Joker 5
Tartu JK Welco 1
Tallinna Kalev III 0
TBD -
Loo JK -
Ambla -
TBD -
Lasnamae 0
Kuressaare 6
Maardu Linnameeskond 3
Kose 0
TBD -
Rapla -
Jogeva 2
Saue JK Laagri 1
JK Luunja 0
Elva 1
Navi Vutiselts -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Visadus -
Legion -
TBD -
Tartu SK 10 2
Narva 4
Levadia 8
Kohtla-Jarve Lootus 0
Kalju III 0
Kalju 14
Kristiine -
TBD -
Haiba 0
FCI Tallinn 8
Otepaa 9
SK EPMU Tartu 1
TBD -
Metropool Parnu -
Tapa 2
Igiliikur 1
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS 2
Tallinna Kalev 10
Paide Linnameeskond U21 -
TBD -
TBD -
Sorve -
Ulikool Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
Ganvix Turi -
FC Ararat 3
Tulevik 1
TBD -
Castovanni Eagles -
Premium Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
Viljandi 7
Kaitseliit 2
Tabivere 1
Rada Kuusalu 2
Vastseliina Tannem -
TBD -
Toompea 1994 1
Johvi Phoenix 12
Keila JK 3
Nomme Utd 1
Twister Tallinn 1
Tabasalu 9
Eston Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
Rakvere -
FC Lootos Polva -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev II 1
Jarva-Jaani 4
Kaitseliit II -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju II -
Puuma -
TBD -
TBD -
Kardla -
Lelle 2
Viimsi JK 1
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Flora 17
1/32-finals
Paide Linnameeskond 8
Tabasalu II 0
SK Taaksi 1
Kivioli Irbis 8
Voru 5
Tallina Mercury 0
Tammeka Tartu II 0
Sillamae Kalev 6
Saaremaa -
Saku Sporting -
Tallinn Piraaja 2
Leisi 3
Soccernet 4
Akhtamar 3
Quattromed 1
Parnu Linnameeskond 5
Tammeka Tartu 24
Pokkeriprod 0
Olympic Tallinn 0
Raasiku Joker 3
Tartu JK Welco 5
Loo JK 2
Ambla 0
Kuressaare 7
Maardu Linnameeskond 4
Rapla 0
Jogeva 2
Elva 2
Navi Vutiselts 2
JK Visadus 0
Legion 0
Narva 7
Levadia 2
Kalju 1
Kristiine 0
FCI Tallinn 9
Otepaa 3
Metropool Parnu 0
Tapa 0
Tallinna Kalev 8
Paide Linnameeskond U21 1
Sorve 0
Ulikool Tallinn 2
Ganvix Turi 3
FC Ararat 3
Castovanni Eagles 2
Premium Tartu 0
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Viljandi 3
Rada Kuusalu 0
Vastseliina Tannem 1
Johvi Phoenix 9
Keila JK -
Tabasalu -
Eston Villa 0
Rakvere 5
FC Lootos Polva 6
Jarva-Jaani 1
Kaitseliit II 1
Kalju II 10
Puuma 3
Kardla 1
Lelle 0
Flora 13
1/16-finals
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Kivioli Irbis 1
Voru 0
Sillamae Kalev 8
Saaremaa 1
Leisi 0
Soccernet 0
Parnu Linnameeskond 13
Tammeka Tartu 4
Raasiku Joker 1
Tartu JK Welco 1
Kuressaare 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 2
Elva 1
Navi Vutiselts 0
Narva 9
Levadia 5
FCI Tallinn 0
Otepaa 0
Tallinna Kalev 7
Paide Linnameeskond U21 3
Ganvix Turi 2
FC Ararat 1
Flora Tallinn U21 2
Viljandi 3
Johvi Phoenix 0
Keila JK 2
Rakvere 5
FC Lootos Polva 5
Kalju II 4
Puuma 1
Flora 4
1/8-finals
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Sillamae Kalev 3
Saaremaa 1
Parnu Linnameeskond 4
Tammeka Tartu 7
Kuressaare 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 0
Narva 6
Levadia 4
Tallinna Kalev 1
Paide Linnameeskond U21 0
Flora Tallinn U21 1
Viljandi 2
Rakvere 1
FC Lootos Polva 0
Flora 9
Quarter-finals
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Parnu Linnameeskond 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Narva 2
Levadia 2
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Viljandi 0
Flora 3
Semi-finals
Levadia 1
Flora 0
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Narva 1
Final
Levadia 3
Narva 0