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Floresta EC U20 vs Ferroviario U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20 2025
Wed, Sep 24, 2025
3 - 3
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Paulo Ricardo
16' Event
Victor Diotti
66' Event
Pereira R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-3. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Floresta EC U20
15%
Draws
36%
Ferroviario U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Floresta EC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Ferroviario U20 haven't matched Floresta EC U20's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Floresta EC U20 a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Floresta EC U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Floresta EC U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Ferroviario U20 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Floresta EC U20 Ferroviario U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.53 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2025 Cearense U20
Floresta EC U20 vs Ferroviario U20
3:3
Sep 13, 2025 Cearense U20
Ferroviario U20 vs Floresta EC U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Floresta EC U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Emerson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ferroviario U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulo Ricardo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Victor Diotti
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Floresta EC U20 68 / 100
Ferroviario U20 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Floresta EC U20 Ferroviario U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Floresta EC U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Floresta EC U20's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ferroviario U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Floresta EC U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Floresta EC U20 VS Ferroviario U20
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Floresta EC U20

(Home)
01 Aug
Floresta EC U20
0 : 2
Quixada U20
26 Jul
Quixada U20
0 : 1
Floresta EC U20
18 Jul
Floresta EC U20
1 : 0
Caucaia U20
10 Jul
Floresta EC U20
2 : 1
Horizonte U20
04 Jul
Anjos do Ceu U20
0 : 1
Floresta EC U20
Page 1 of 6

Ferroviario U20

(Away)
10 Sept
Ferroviario U20
1 : 0
EC de Patos U20
01 Aug
Fortaleza U20
3 : 0
Ferroviario U20
25 Jul
Ferroviario U20
0 : 1
Fortaleza U20
18 Jul
Horizonte U20
0 : 1
Ferroviario U20
20 Jun
Ferroviario U20
1 : 0
Anjos do Ceu U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Ceara U20 3
Caucaia U20 2
Floresta EC U20 4
Ferroviario U20 5
Fortaleza U20 2
Atletico Cearense U20 1
Quixada U20 4
Tirol U20 3
Semi-finals
Ceara U20 1
Ferroviario U20 3
Fortaleza U20 7
Quixada U20 1
Final
Ferroviario U20 1
Fortaleza U20 6