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Floresta EC vs Maringa FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Domingão, Horizonte
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Ronald Camarao
53'
Sub
Danrley In: Natan Costa
Out: Danrley
53'
Sub
Thalisson In: Baianinho
Out: Thalisson

AI Match Summary

Maringa FC in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maringa FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Floresta EC
20%
Draws
47%
Maringa FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maringa FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Maringa FC have won more games recently than Floresta EC.
  • Model gives Floresta EC a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Floresta EC Clean Sheet 20%
Maringa FC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Floresta EC Maringa FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.86 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Maringa FC
0:1
Jul 27, 2026 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Maringa FC
1:1
Aug 3, 2025 Serie C
Maringa FC vs Floresta EC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Floresta EC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Maringa FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ronald Camarao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Floresta EC 42 / 100
Maringa FC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Floresta EC Maringa FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Floresta EC found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Maringa FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Floresta EC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Floresta EC VS Maringa FC
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Floresta EC

(Home)
26 Sept
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Floresta EC
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1
Floresta EC
06 Sept
Floresta EC
0 : 1
Maringa FC
29 Aug
Floresta EC
2 : 0
Ituano
Page 1 of 6

Maringa FC

(Away)
26 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 0
Maringa FC
19 Sept
Maringa FC
2 : 0
Botafogo PB
12 Sept
Maringa FC
0 : 1
Santa Cruz
06 Sept
Floresta EC
0 : 1
Maringa FC
29 Aug
Paysandu PA
0 : 1
Maringa FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria 4 2 2 0 8:6 8
2 Internacional de Limeira 4 1 3 0 9:7 6
3 Brusque 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
4 Paysandu PA 4 0 1 3 3:7 1
Promotion - Serie B 2027 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz 4 3 1 0 4:1 10
2 Maringa FC 4 2 1 1 3:1 7
3 Floresta EC 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
4 Botafogo PB 4 0 1 3 0:4 1
Promotion - Serie B 2027 (Main)