Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Floresti vs Sparta Selemet

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga 2025/2026 Stadionul Dinamo, Tighina
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Richards D.
(Penalty)
17' Event
Solodovnicov N.
24' Event
Richards D.

AI Match Summary

Sparta Selemet in this Super Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sparta Selemet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Floresti
15%
Draws
0%
Sparta Selemet
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Floresti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Floresti lately — more wins on the board than Sparta Selemet.
  • Floresti are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Super Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Floresti Clean Sheet 15%
Sparta Selemet Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Floresti Sparta Selemet
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.03 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.03 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Super Liga
Sparta Selemet vs Floresti
1:4
Apr 25, 2026 Super Liga
Floresti vs Sparta Selemet
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 Super Liga
Sparta Selemet vs Floresti
2:2
Sep 28, 2024 Super Liga
Sparta Selemet vs Floresti
2:0
Aug 3, 2024 Super Liga
Floresti vs Sparta Selemet
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Floresti Compare

Top Goalscorer Solodovnicov N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.56
Avg xA / game 1.01

Sparta Selemet Compare

Top Goalscorer Richards D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Floresti 84 / 100
Sparta Selemet 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Floresti Sparta Selemet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Floresti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sparta Selemet conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Sparta Selemet's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Floresti found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Floresti VS Sparta Selemet
1.43 Goals Scored 1.5
1.57 Goals Conceded 2.63
57% Over 1.5 100%
43% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Floresti

(Home)
01 Sept
Floresti
0 : 3
Edinet
27 May
Real Sireti
1 : 0
Floresti
20 May
Sparta Selemet
1 : 4
Floresti
16 May
Floresti
5 : 4
FCM Ungheni
09 May
Floresti
1 : 1
Politehnica UTM
Page 1 of 7

Sparta Selemet

(Away)
19 Sept
Sparta Selemet
1 : 2
Vulturii Cutezatori
12 Sept
FCM Ungheni
5 : 2
Sparta Selemet
04 Sept
Sparta Selemet
3 : 4
Zimbru Chisinau 2
01 Sept
Sparta Selemet
0 : 3
Univer Comrat
29 Aug
Sparta Selemet
1 : 6
Univer Comrat
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Politehnica UTM 10 6 4 0 20:7 22
2 Real Sireti 10 5 2 3 16:12 17
3 Sparta Selemet 10 4 3 3 15:14 15
4 Floresti 10 2 4 4 9:12 10
5 Iskra Ribnita 10 2 4 4 9:13 10
6 Stauceni 10 0 5 5 9:20 5
Relegation - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Politehnica UTM 10 6 4 0 20:7 22
2 Real Sireti 10 5 2 3 16:12 17
3 Sparta Selemet 10 4 3 3 15:14 15
4 Floresti 10 2 4 4 9:12 10
5 Iskra Ribnita 10 2 4 4 9:13 10
6 Stauceni 10 0 5 5 9:20 5
Relegation - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)