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Florgrade vs Leca

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Florgrade Logo

Florgrade

1 - 1
FT
Leca Logo

Leca

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Pereira P.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Muale Nzanza D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 game between Florgrade and Leca finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Florgrade
35%
Draws
25%
Leca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Florgrade

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leca come out ahead of Florgrade on wins alone.
  • Model gives Florgrade a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Florgrade Clean Sheet 68%
Leca Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Florgrade Leca
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 17
Draws 11 10
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.03 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Florgrade vs Leca
1:1
Aug 17, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Leca vs Florgrade
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Florgrade Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Leca Compare

Top Goalscorer Muale Nzanza D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Florgrade 59 / 100
Leca 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Florgrade Leca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Florgrade Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Florgrade's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Leca has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Florgrade stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Florgrade VS Leca
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.17 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Florgrade

(Home)
23 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0
Guarda FC
16 Aug
Uniao Lamas
1 : 1
Florgrade
18 Apr
Florgrade
2 : 1
Rebordosa
12 Apr
Aparecida
4 : 1
Florgrade
04 Apr
Florgrade
1 : 1
GD Resende
Page 1 of 6

Leca

(Away)
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2
Leca
15 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0
Leca
09 Aug
Leca
1 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
29 Jul
Leca
0 : 0
Lusitania FC
15 Jul
Santa Clara
4 : 0
Leca
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)